2023 Division round at the SF

[Pokerbrat2000]

I'm to the point where I think we should *probably* be going for 2 after touchdowns and obviously a kicker who is under 88% on PATs does not help.

This season, the Packers have only converted 40% of their 2 point tries, so I would factor that into the decision as well.

 

[JFay05]

First things first. Respect.
We’ve got our hands full with a very well-rounded 49ers team that has been the most consistent team in the NFC. They have weapons and game changers at nearly every level, Led by a young and dynamic QB that has over exceeded every possible expectation. LAST PART Sound familiar?
Last 11 games ___
Purdy 22 TD 11 INT (7-4 record)
Love 24 TD 3INT (8-3 record)


That said, the 49ers are not unbeatable. The best examples to look to are the last 3 QB’s who led their teams to Wins over SF earlier this season. Jackson, Cousins and Burrows. It’s another example of what a condition of beating the SF49ers is… a similarly good to great QB who has dynamic Receiving weapons.

While GB may not have a Chase or Jefferson or Andrews, we do have a nice, deep roster of above average to good talent and 3 separate 100 yard receivers (Doubs, Reed, Melton) producing over the last 3 weeks, not to mention Wicks putting up 97 yards 2 weeks prior. We also now have healthy, 2 versatile TE’s who thus far have flown under radar due to being rookies. Each TE pacing between 550-675 yards across a season with adequate sample size of 9 and 12 contests respectively.

Kraft 359yds 2 TD’s ~11.5 per
Musgrave 404yds 2 TD’s ~11.0 per

Add to that, we look to see more of our #33 overall draft selection from last year. He’s just getting healthy after missing 5 weeks and got his warm up in Dallas. It’s time to bust loose and take some deep shots and crossers in stride and match Speed with more Speed.

The Packers have shown they don't need a Chase, Jefferson, or Davante Adams to win, it is what has made this offense so dangerous since Thanksgiving. The DCs across the field can't focus on taking away one player, when there has been someone else stepping up.

The Pack has the offense to make this a game, it just depends on whether the D and ST screw it all up for us.

 

[games]

I want to see Barry go out and be a junkball pitcher. Throw things at SF that aren’t on tape. Blitz corners, drop linemen, mug fronts, play some man, whatever. Stupid stuff. Get weird.

The defense is going to give up drives and points today. Personnel wise, they’re outclassed. So get funky and see if you can steal a possession or two.

Fritz Shurmur - Let's win one for Fritz!

 

[Cornelius Weems]

Gonna nitpick. If you would not have put "just" in there (2x); I would have liked it.

I put just it in there because I didn't see the playoffs in this team's future at the start of the season. I was hoping for 5-6 wins, so no matter what, I'm happy with how they have performed. I'm super proud of this team and what we have accomplished.

 

[Zartan]

I'm all for going for any 4th and under 5 past midfield all the way down to the 15. Situation dependent, of course. Partly because it's generally correct analytically and partly because I don't particularly trust our kicker from 32-50.

I'm to the point where I think we should *probably* be going for 2 after touchdowns and obviously a kicker who is under 88% on PATs does not help.

Going for 2pts would be dependent on what the current game state is. They are around 40% on 2PT tries this season, if the game is fairly close I would just try and hope Carlson can make the XP.

 

[PackerDNA]

1) Is it 4th & inches or a first down on a crucial drive. Catch or not? DPI or letting them play? But we called it the other way when the defense' team had the ball. How do the zebras call it?
2) Star / stud player has been ruled out for the game with a stinger / some leg injury.

The ref crew were getting today leads the league in calling penalties averaging 15 a game. Like you said let's just hope they let them play

 

[Half Empty]

This season, the Packers have only converted 40% of their 2 point tries, so I would factor that into the decision as well.

40% is 2/5, a pretty small sample size. However, an expected return of .87 points on a kick and .8 points on a 2 pointer still pretty much leaves it up to a coin toss and situation.

 

[PackerDNA]

Good post.

I also wonder if MLF might have to go a little Dan Campbell today and gamble on a few 4th downs that previously he would have played it safe on?

For me, when going up against the superior team with everything on the line, I'd let it all hang out.

 

[Pokerbrat2000]

Raise your hand if 6 months ago, you thought you would still be watching the Packers playing on Jan 20th.

Go Pack Go! Let's Do This!!

 

[Firethorn1001]

aise your hand if 6 months ago, you thought you would still be watching the Packers playing on Jan 20th.

Go Pack Go! Let's Do This!!

6 months ago? Eh.. might have raised my hand.

On October 31st? Nope.

 

[rmontro]

I wish we had the earlier game. I'm getting nervous waiting all this time, it's probably worse for the athletes.

 

[AKCheese]

Ultimate playing with house money game.

I’d like to see some short yardage play action and go deep plays

 

[Cornelius Weems]

I wish we had the earlier game. I'm getting nervous waiting all this time, it's probably worse for the athletes.

I really hate having to wait, waiting for this long sucks as we will to wait 2 hours and 45 min for kickoff

 

[weeds]

Packers signed punter Pat O'Donnell to the practice squad

 

[Cornelius Weems]

Packers signed punter Pat O'Donnell to the practice squad

A punter? It's the kicker that makes me lose sleep.

 

[OkieCheesehead]

This is a pressure game. Let's hope they handle it. I think they will.

I’m feeling confident today, which is funny because my expectations have been so low all year. Maybe I should just continue to keep them low lol

 

[TG5557]

Wishing the Packers and their fans the best of luck today. Here is, to a great game with no injuries. No matter the outcome nothing but respect for the Packers.

 

[lambeaulambo]

maybe napoleon could dance punt and miss xp's...

 

[lambeaulambo]

Its been a super year of growth and lots of surprise - if it ends today I cannot complain one bit...the Baby Pack is formidable. Now lets kick their teeth in.

 

[Team Ronny]

Anything is possible!! Stick to the plan!! Watch Barry's defense play lights out and shut them out..that would be something!

 

[coulomb]

Jaire will play according to NFL network reporter, Bridget Condon

 

[ExpatPacker]

Anything is possible!! Stick to the plan!! Watch Barry's defense play lights out and shut them out..that would be something!

If only I shared your optimism about Joe Barry's defense.

 

[Firethorn1001]

Jaire will play according to NFL network reporter, Bridget Condon

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[JKramer64]

Dillon is inactive. So is Cox Jr. Looks like a 3 man rotation on the edge.

 

[Firethorn1001]

Cox inactive.

Packers : "We like you, but we don't like you like you."