Week one results are difficult to judge, because there isn't much of a frame of reference. We don't know if the Vikings' defense is particularly good or the Falcons' offense is particularly bad. I'll venture some observations:
- The score makes it look like these teams were unevenly matched, talent-wise, but I didn't think that was the case. The Falcons were -3 in TO margin and had a blocked punt, and that basically explains the score between two teams that I think are pretty comparable. Ryan's first pick came on a 50/50 ball that, while too high, could have easily come down as a Julio Jones reception. Freeman's fumble at MIN's 20 is just bad luck. And Ryan's 2nd pick probably should have been flagged, as Harris impeded Stocker and pushed off of him while the ball was in the air. Was still a horrible decision. The Vikings aren't going to find Rodgers as easy to turn over.
- The Falcons were able to move the ball through the air. They had a 46 yard drive end with a fumble and a 51 yard drive end with a terrible pick in the end zone. They ended the game with scoring drives of 66 yards and 62 yards.
- They really struggled to establish a running attack with Freeman, but Ito Smith found some open grass.
- The TE was the weakness of the Vikings' defense on Sunday (Austin Hooper had 9 catches on 9 targets for 77 yards), as it was last season, and as it is in most Zimmer defenses.
- For how rarely Cousins threw the ball, he was under quite a bit of pressure.
- The Vikings ran the ball with authority and Cook looked explosive. Falcons had a bottom 5 rush defense last year, so it's hard to judge.
- Everson Griffen was back in style. He gave Jake Matthews a lot of problems.
I think this is going to be another low scoring affair. The Packer offense should be able to hold up better against the Vikings' pass rush than it did against the Bears', but I would still expect a fair bit of pressure. It will help to be at home. When he has time, I think Aaron will be able to move the ball effectively, but I would also expect some more clunkiness as the system is still new. We will see how the running game looks with another week under the belt.
On defense, if they can stop the rushing attack and force Cousins to pass, I think they're going to hit him quite a bit. The Falcons' pass rush is worse than ours, and they were getting after it pretty consistently despite Cousins only attempting ten passes.
Take care of the ball, find the tight ends, stop the run, hit Cousins, and get to 2-0.