Have faith in MLF's O

Status
Not open for further replies.

milani

Cheesehead
Joined
Jun 11, 2012
Messages
4,870
Reaction score
1,899
That is weird. My eye test, memory seems to think Lazard is the favored 3rd down target. Or maybe he is just my favorite 3rd down target. Hoping Captain has time after therapy and comes up with some of those annoying stats on targets per WR on 3rd down and 3rd down conversions per WR.
Have to include last year. Cobb is clutch in the slot. But Lazard has the size and strength to catch balls everywhere.
 

milani

Cheesehead
Joined
Jun 11, 2012
Messages
4,870
Reaction score
1,899
While I haven't heard anybody in the media mentioning something like that it should serve as evidence that you shouldn't believe everything said.

Rodgers has targeted Cobb on only seven of 43 attempts on third down. That ranks second on the team behind Lazard with 10 and just ahead of Doubs and Jones with six.

In addition there's nothing wrong about Rodgers looking for Cobb on third down as he has a passer rating of 148.9 in those situations since the start of last season (highest in the NFL).



It's easy to pick some random plays and conclude that Rodgers isn't going through his progressions. I took a look at all of his incompletions when targeting Cobb against the Giants and was able to come up with a single play on which it would have been smarter to throw the ball to someone else. That happens to every other quarterback in the league as well though.

Nobody is suggesting Rodgers is perfect by any means. There's no doubt in my mind that he needs to play better this season for the offense to work.

I'm getting tired of Packers' fans acting as if he's a terrible player, being the only reason the unit is struggling when in reality he's an elite player surrounded by a below average supporting cast.

As a side note, when taking a look at Rodgers' incompletions to Cobb I took a look at the fourth down play on the Packers last drive which was tipped by a Giants defender. Somehow the Packers managed to leave not one but two defenders rushing the passer unblocked coming from the side Rodgers was targeting Lazard at.
Cobb has a history although he cannot make all the catches that other receivers can. And he is near the end. But that history is clutch. 2013, 4th down, knocked the Bears out of the playoffs. 2014, catches the 3rd down dagger that beats BB and the Pats. 2016, catches the halftime Hail Mary that turns the playoff game against the Giants.
 

XPack

Cheesehead
Joined
Sep 9, 2014
Messages
3,700
Reaction score
566
Location
Garden State
Him being unreliable to the run is just inexplicable! Been a trend in losing games.

Rodgers performs best in 2-3 second throws. We should just game for that and balance it with the run.
 

milani

Cheesehead
Joined
Jun 11, 2012
Messages
4,870
Reaction score
1,899
Him being unreliable to the run is just inexplicable! Been a trend in losing games.

Rodgers performs best in 2-3 second throws. We should just game for that and balance it with the run.
I like it.
 
D

Deleted member 6794

Guest
Have to include last year. Cobb is clutch in the slot. But Lazard has the size and strength to catch balls everywhere.

Last season, Cobb was targeted 17 times on third down. That ranked fifth on the team behind Adams (49), Jones (22), Lazard (20) and MVS (18).

Rodgers performs best in 2-3 second throws. We should just game for that and balance it with the run.

The Packers are already doing that. According to PFF it takes Rodgers an average of 2.30 seconds to throw the ball this season. This ranks second fastest in the NFL and is by far the lowest number of his career.
 

milani

Cheesehead
Joined
Jun 11, 2012
Messages
4,870
Reaction score
1,899
Last season, Cobb was targeted 17 times on third down. That ranked fifth on the team behind Adams (49), Jones (22), Lazard (20) and MVS (18).



The Packers are already doing that. According to PFF it takes Rodgers an average of 2.30 seconds to throw the ball this season. This ranks second fastest in the NFL and is by far the lowest number of his career.
Have to look at the success rate. There was a reason why Rodgers wanted Cobb on the roster. He knew Cobb would not be the premier target or the go to guy. Kind of like an old pinch hitter that comes through when you need it.
 

gopkrs

Cheesehead
Joined
May 12, 2014
Messages
5,705
Reaction score
1,435
Last season, Cobb was targeted 17 times on third down. That ranked fifth on the team behind Adams (49), Jones (22), Lazard (20) and MVS (18).
It seems like Cobb gets targeted more on really important plays. Not all 3rd downs are equally important. And sometimes he forces it.
 

Mondio

Cheesehead
Joined
Dec 20, 2014
Messages
15,893
Reaction score
3,797
It seems like Cobb gets targeted more on really important plays. Not all 3rd downs are equally important. And sometimes he forces it.
Do not watch the Packers game today. Watch KC, the Bills, Tampa, etc. see who they're throwing too and when. Report back. ALL QB's go to their best guys all the time on important downs. the only thing unique about Rodgers right now is the quality of guy we have to throw to. I watched Josh Allen light it up last week and every pass I'm thinking, man we don't have a single guy that can do that and his guys are doing it on almost every catch.
 

gopkrs

Cheesehead
Joined
May 12, 2014
Messages
5,705
Reaction score
1,435
Do not watch the Packers game today. Watch KC, the Bills, Tampa, etc. see who they're throwing too and when. Report back. ALL QB's go to their best guys all the time on important downs. the only thing unique about Rodgers right now is the quality of guy we have to throw to. I watched Josh Allen light it up last week and every pass I'm thinking, man we don't have a single guy that can do that and his guys are doing it on almost every catch.
I'm going to watch Rodgers and see if he has enough time to survey the field and then if he does survey the field. I'm hoping they move Jenkins inside. Then big day for Jones.
 

PackAttack12

R-E-L-A-X
Joined
Sep 16, 2016
Messages
6,500
Reaction score
2,157
My prediction:

Starting this week (Jets) through the end of the regular season, the Packers will average over 25 points per game.

They're at 19 right now.
Gonna have to average 27 over the last 11 to get what you are looking for at this point.
 

Patriotplayer90

Cheesehead
Joined
Nov 2, 2015
Messages
1,874
Reaction score
130
There needs to be a better #2 RB than Dillon. I understand the rationale behind drafting him, but he's not Derrick Henry. He's a plodding oversized RB who really offers nothing other than pickup up the yardage blocked for him. Either give those snaps to Jones, or put a more dynamic guy behind him
 

Sunshinepacker

Cheesehead
Joined
Jul 29, 2013
Messages
5,810
Reaction score
930
There needs to be a better #2 RB than Dillon. I understand the rationale behind drafting him, but he's not Derrick Henry. He's a plodding oversized RB who really offers nothing other than pickup up the yardage blocked for him. Either give those snaps to Jones, or put a more dynamic guy behind him

Drafting a RB in the second round was ridiculous when he was drafted (as many pointed out). Yes, he’s really big, but his value to the offense is,uhm, not great?
 

gopkrs

Cheesehead
Joined
May 12, 2014
Messages
5,705
Reaction score
1,435
There needs to be a better #2 RB than Dillon. I understand the rationale behind drafting him, but he's not Derrick Henry. He's a plodding oversized RB who really offers nothing other than pickup up the yardage blocked for him. Either give those snaps to Jones, or put a more dynamic guy behind him
They don't use Dillon right. They (and fans) think he is better than he is imho. I don't mind keeping Jones fresh for later in the season but to think (as the coaching staff appears to think) that he and Jones are interchangeable is ridiculous.
 

milani

Cheesehead
Joined
Jun 11, 2012
Messages
4,870
Reaction score
1,899
I'm going to watch Rodgers and see if he has enough time to survey the field and then if he does survey the field. I'm hoping they move Jenkins inside. Then big day for Jones.
I was there today. And I can say this is the worst I have seen a Packer team play at HOME with the exception of the Hundley and Scott Tolzien games since 2006. The team appeared to have quit in the first half. There was no energy on the sideline. It was like they walked off the plane from London an hour ago. No zeal. 3 of our first downs came from penalties. Rodgers looks very slow mentally and physically. I cannot see this team making the playoffs. I cannot see them getting to .500. In fact I am not sure if they can beat another team the rest of the year. And there are no real explanations.
 
D

Deleted member 6794

Guest
Have to look at the success rate. There was a reason why Rodgers wanted Cobb on the roster. He knew Cobb would not be the premier target or the go to guy. Kind of like an old pinch hitter that comes through when you need it.

As I have mentioned before the combo of Rodgers and Cobb lead the league in passer rating on third down since the start of last season.

The discussion was about Rodgers primarily throwing his way on third down, which isn't accurate.

I don't mind keeping Jones fresh for later in the season but to think (as the coaching staff appears to think) that he and Jones are interchangeable is ridiculous.

If the Packers continue to play like they did against the Jets there's no reason to keep anyone fresh for later in the season.

I was there today. And I can say this is the worst I have seen a Packer team play at HOME with the exception of the Hundley and Scott Tolzien games since 2006. The team appeared to have quit in the first half. There was no energy on the sideline. It was like they walked off the plane from London an hour ago. No zeal. 3 of our first downs came from penalties. Rodgers looks very slow mentally and physically. I cannot see this team making the playoffs. I cannot see them getting to .500. In fact I am not sure if they can beat another team the rest of the year. And there are no real explanations.

There are explanations for this team struggling. Actually I pointed out before the start of the season that Rodgers might struggle like he did in 2015 without enough talent among the pass catchers.

While most others on the forum shrugged at the suggestion it seems he's not able to overcome being surrounded by an inferior supporting cast.

Unfortunately the defense doesn't seem to be good enough to pick up the slack either.
 

MadCat

Cheesehead
Joined
Jan 18, 2015
Messages
546
Reaction score
310
…There are explanations for this team struggling. Actually I pointed out before the start of the season that Rodgers might struggle like he did in 2015 without enough talent among the pass catchers.

While most others on the forum shrugged at the suggestion it seems he's not able to overcome being surrounded by an inferior supporting cast.

Unfortunately the defense doesn't seem to be good enough to pick up the slack either.
Yes, that is basically what it boils down to. And it looks like a very inferior supporting cast so far.

Rodgers might have a chance to overcome the inferior supportng cast to an extent if he were younger and more mobile, or if he had more time in the pocket. The bottom line is that unless something changes with the o-line, the offense won’t improve and Rodgers will be lucky to survive the season without injury.

The organization’s decision to go with the rookie picks and a couple of injury-prone vets was a huge roll of the dice that looks like it just may not pan out for us this year. We pretty much had to hit the jackpot with at least one rookie and get consistent production from Watkins to have a decent chance.

The good news is it sounds like Watkins may be coming back soon and the rookies should continue to improve. The question is will it be enough to win games. But we can only get better at this point, right?
 
Last edited:

Mavster

Cheesehead
Joined
Aug 1, 2016
Messages
471
Reaction score
64
The explanations for this team struggling are actually quite simple. The org has invested an absolute truckload of picks into the defense, and so far the ROI has been completely underwhelming. Whether you want to lay blame at the feet of the coordinator or the players, that fact is the defense has not been what we hoped. Maybe that's our fault, perhaps our expectations were too high.

But on offense I don't know what folks were expecting. We lost an all world WR, and a solid deep threat. We had no one behind those two players to step in as a new go to receiver. How many playmakers has Gute added in his time here in GB (that are currently with the team) you may ask? Well the answer would be - Lazard, Dillon, Love, & Deguara (please correct me if I'm missing anyone). With the loss of Adams and MVS the Packers had no other choice than to finally draft a few receivers. But going into a season with Super Bowl aspirations and banking on rookies to have a large impact was naïve at best, & a dereliction of duty as GM at worst.

It appeared Gute had a plan of action in place to move on from Rodgers this past offseason and let Love take over at the helm. Instead, the org chickens out and gives Rodgers a horrendous contract that could potentially hamstring the franchise for years to come.
 
Joined
Aug 16, 2014
Messages
15,799
Reaction score
6,767
Do not watch the Packers game today. Watch KC, the Bills, Tampa, etc. see who they're throwing too and when. Report back. ALL QB's go to their best guys all the time on important downs. the only thing unique about Rodgers right now is the quality of guy we have to throw to. I watched Josh Allen light it up last week and every pass I'm thinking, man we don't have a single guy that can do that and his guys are doing it on almost every catch.
Yep and To add to that, when you have 1 true, seasoned veteran WR on the field, all a DC has to do is double cover him with Safety help and largely take him out of the equation.
There’s a reason Robert Tonyan was targeted all Day. He was the only Receiving target open regularly.
 

milani

Cheesehead
Joined
Jun 11, 2012
Messages
4,870
Reaction score
1,899
AND our O Line got manhandled yesterday. Plus 2 holding calls on #74. Don't we have 2 Pro Bowlers on that line?[
 

milani

Cheesehead
Joined
Jun 11, 2012
Messages
4,870
Reaction score
1,899
As I have mentioned before the combo of Rodgers and Cobb lead the league in passer rating on third down since the start of last season.

The discussion was about Rodgers primarily throwing his way on third down, which isn't accurate.



If the Packers continue to play like they did against the Jets there's no reason to keep anyone fresh for later in the season.



There are explanations for this team struggling. Actually I pointed out before the start of the season that Rodgers might struggle like he did in 2015 without enough talent among the pass catchers.

While most others on the forum shrugged at the suggestion it seems he's not able to overcome being surrounded by an inferior supporting cast.

Unfortunately the defense doesn't seem to be good enough to pick up the slack either.
Lot of teams struggle with supporting casts. There appears to be something else wrong with the team. Yesterday, even our improved special teams failed us with a blocked punt, a blocked FG, and penalties on returns. Maybe Rodgers philosophy of R-E-L-A-X has engulfed both the players and the coaches. They are relaxing too much. I do not believe these losses are happening just on Sunday. There are 6 days of preparation ( except in short weeks ) between games. And I believe that is where we are losing. The best coached teams maximize those 6 days. Even the play that won the Ice Bowl did not just pop into the QB's head.
 
Joined
Aug 16, 2014
Messages
15,799
Reaction score
6,767
If anyone needs to get it out of their system, just quote that original post of mine and blast me. Get it all out. We all need a good, hard cry.
Pretty Funny! Hey It’s pretty bad when the best you can hope for on Sunday is other teams to lose badly so you can have some good, misery company.
 

Dantés

Gute Loot
Joined
Jan 21, 2017
Messages
12,116
Reaction score
3,036
Pretty Funny! Hey It’s pretty bad when the best you can hope for on Sunday is other teams to lose badly so you can have some good, misery company.

Too true.

I'll just add this.

I was obviously and laughably wrong that the Packers' offense would figure things out this week.

I still think I'm right that the biggest problem on the offense is the offensive line.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.

Members online

Top