I’m a big fan of every Packers draftee, UDFA, waiver wire and trade acquisition. I may think one is a better fit than another or has a better chance but I spend very little time attempting to evaluate potential and actual draftees. And even if I spent as much time as some of you, I would realize that NFL scouts and some others in personnel departments spend exponentially more time and have access to a lot more information.
IMO the reason Janis fell so far in the draft is because it takes a lot more than “measurables” to succeed in the NFL, even great measurables. And that “more” is what is so difficult to project to the NFL. Here’s what the combine section of the nfl website wrote were Janis’ weaknesses: “Has very small, inconsistent hands - will cradle the ball and use his body. Is not a nuanced route runner. Does not attack the ball in the air and will give up some break points. Not strong after the catch and will look for a soft landing spot. Can be fazed by traffic. Regularly faced Division II competition. Not a consistent blocker - does not play to his size.” And here’s their bottom line: “A Division II standout with rare measurables and production, Janis must prove that he can translate his small-school success to the field against better competition.” So it was more than just the level of competition according to whoever wrote this analysis.
OTOH, this was noted in his strengths: “Exceptional work ethic. Outstanding football character. Very passionate about the game.” Of course they also mention his production (vs. the competition he faced) as a strength, but those characteristics have nothing to do with the competition and if true, also speak well for his prospects.
I hope Janis becomes the greatest WR in NFL history, because he’s a Packer. Even if some dislocate their shoulders patting themselves on the back claiming they “knew” on draft day. Because of course they didn’t know – they just had a feeling, or thought he had a good chance, or were filled with optimism because he was picked by the Packers. But their livelihood wasn’t on the line and if they were wrong it would be quickly forgotten. It looks to me like the people whose livelihoods were on the line downgraded him for reasons beyond the level of competition he faced in college. But because the "more" (beyond measurables) is so difficult to assess, we can all rattle off first round failures and late round greats.