You nailed it. They signed him last year most certainly expecting he'd be back.Quite the leverage! Hey Rodgers, if you don't do exactly what we want (keeping in mind we signed you to an extension so I'm not sure what else the packers had in mind other than Rodgers playing this year) then we'll screw up the entire team just to spite you! Would be quite the look for the Packers, treating one of the best players in team history like they're all in middle school.
If the Packers didn't want exactly what's happening to happen, then Gute shouldn't have signed him to an extension. End of story.
As for his play this year, it wasn't very good but he had little to work with. Lazard never capitalized on his chance to be more than a solid #3 WR, and the rest were mostly rookies or guys past their prime (Cobb/Watkins). So it's not all on him. Losing a guy like Adams will hurt any QB.
I think he'll be back, if he plays at all and why wouldn't he with $58 mil staring at him. Gluten needs to add an impact player or two on offense, either through the draft or FA or both. And please, get a new DC.