They need to decide before the 15th if they are going to be players in the initial wave of FA signings. If it is the 15th, by the 10th is more likely.
If they're smart, they'll have the framework of their free agent plan in place long, long before the 10th.
The official free agency signing period begins on 3/13, and clubs can
officially begin negotiating with FAs on the 11th - the "legal tampering period". But the reality is, the free agent negotiations will begin this week at the combine - the "
illegal tampering period". This is when agents and GMs smile and wink at one another, and the agents get a sense of who might be interested in their clients while the GMs get a sense of how badly some FAs want to move and what the price may be. By the time the legal negotiations actually begin on the 11th, most teams have idenitified their top FA targets and have some numbers in mind. In some cases, I think it's probable that there's been a lot more discussed than those superficial details, but it's unlikely anyone is ever going to admit to it.
The 13th is going to be a very exciting day, because we may begin to see already on that day how aggressive a run the Packers are going to make this year.
Gute, Murphy, and Lafleur have spent I'd say the last 2 years focused on building a team ready to take advantage of a Super Bowl window beginning in probably 2025, and ready for at least a brief playoff run in 2024. But I strongly believe they've dranatically accelerated that timeline. Gute hitting a grand slam in the 2023 draft, and the incredible growth Love and the rest of the team showed when they exploded in November, probably changed everything. I think the second half of the 2023 season moved the plan forward a full year, and that those 3 months basically represent the "2024" part of the plan. I think the triumverate (Murphy, Gutekunst, and Lafleur) have decided that our Lombardi window is right now - that we're already in it, and we need to take maximum advantage.
If that's the case, then I think early UFA decisions and trades will be our first indicator. Green Bay has not been a big player in free agency, and have focused more on drafting and devleopment than trading for players that other teams have developed. If Gutekunst breaks that pattern early on with trades or signings that are more aggressive than what we're used to seeing, I think it will be our confirnation that they
do think the hole is there right now, and they're going to hit it hard, put the pedal to the metal, and go all in. If they think (for example) that there's a Charles Woodson safety out there who may be the one piece we need to get us the rest of the way, we may see a suprise signing early on.
So some early FA signings or significant trades could mean we're in for a hell of a ride this season.
That's my deep thought of the day, anyway. As always, I'm curious if anyone agrees or disagrees. Always eager to learn where I might have hold of the wrong end of something.