Isn't this looking at things in a bubble, with a rear view mirror and pretty one sided to fit your argument? Seems like you are basically saying "sign free agents, they will be as good as you pay them, but don't resign your own guys, because you will end up overpaying them." Hasn't every team seen this happen? Success and failure signing your own or others?
Nobody wants to overpay a player and then see him under perform on that contract. That goes with your own players as well as Free Agents from other teams. One advantage of deciding on your own players future is that you probably have the most information about that player in comparison to the other 31 teams.
So funny to hear people criticizing Thompson and now Gute over decisions that were made years ago and didn't work out. All of us could be scholar GM's if we had a crystal ball in which to make all of our decisions with.
There's a big difference between re-signing a player for multiple years and
signing a free agent for one year. History shows and suggest, which is factual information, that Packers tend overpay for their drafted players once their rookie deal is up. A huge deal I never agreed with was re-signing Nick Perry. I think he was re-signed out of fear that he would go to another team and start
ballin' a la Casey Hayward.
And in all honesty, I personally think the Packers overpay, because they know that some players would prefer to live and play somewhere else. Green Bay is a small market and isn't the first choice for players with great talent, it just isn't. Offering one year deals to veterans that have developed a resume is mutually beneficial for both sides. Its only one year.
The player can rehabilitate their image or reputation as a productive player, while playing for a nationally recognized organization. It fosters good will. The Green Bay Packers gets a player that will give 100% effort and fills some gaps while draft picks learn and develop their craft in the NFL. Overpaying for our draft picks that
only produce in their contract year is counter-intuitive (ex. Nick Perry). It ties down the organization financially, and gets people fired.