I need to better understand the logic of preferring an average QB over an elite QB. I get that the average QB won't cost as much but then you're basically forcing the GM to find better players in the draft all over the place.
Perhaps my logic is wrong on this (and please let me know if it is) but I believe the thought process is that if you have an average QB you can then field a defense that has an elite pass rusher, a good pass rusher, an elite corner, a good corner, an elite safety, and a good linebacker while on offense you could field more elite playmakers to support the average QB. Here's what I don't get; the Packers' issue hasn't been KEEPING elite players on defense, it's really been about FINDING elite players on defense. Additionally, with a team that's built with an average QB and elite defense you're relying on numerous players on the defense staying healthy the entire season while with the elite QB you're really only relying on the ONE QB to stay healthy.
Now, finding an elite QB is REALLY tough but I think putting together a team that can carry an average QB to a Super Bowl, consistently, is actually much more difficult. Just going back 10 years, the Packers, Chiefs, Patriots, and Seahawks have played the most playoff games in the NFL, and all of them had elite QBs. The fifth most playoff games in that time are the Ravens, who are kind of the team I think most people are thinking the Packers should build like but they haven't made a Super Bowl in that time because having an elite QB is fairly important.
Building a consistent winner in the NFL pretty much requires an elite QB that's going to cost the team a lot of money. Good GMs and coaches can still win even if the QB is taking up an extra $10m per year relative to an average QB.
So, basically, I'm just wondering if those advocating for the cheaper QB (say Stafford or Tannehill level) think that the money saved is automatically going to mean the GM becomes better at drafting AND, if not, is going to be willing to overpay in free agency to sign guys. There's just a lot of assumptions that seem to be going into this line of thinking that aren't really addressed.