Packers 24-16 over Seattle
Packers will abuse Russell early and often. Seattle OL has some issues with their 2 best players being around average. None of their starters would start for the Packers. Russell is in great shape, but he slimmed down to 205 this year. I know he is mobile, but he is not going to be able to withstand a full season with the combination of a bad line and a small frame. Last few meetings the Packers focused on hitting Russell, and I look for the same. I recall one of the first handoffs Russell did in a game 2 years ago. It was a fake play-action. CM3 drilled him solidly just as he was easing up from faking like he still had the ball. The Seahawks did not run any more fake play-actions. Look for the Packers to send someone after Russell pretty much every play a MLB, Safety or a CB. A couple of hits and the Hawks will be forced to keep a RB or a TE or both in for protection - which helps coverage. I have heard Lacy has not looked good, Rawls will probably see a lot of work. The DL for the Packers looks quite different from last year and will be tougher to run against. I expect to see the Nitro package most of the game with Barnett in as a MLB shadowing Russell and Brice playing as the safety. Hope to see Josh Jones getting in some snaps as a MLB and seeing what he can do. As a rookie, though, Capers will favor his wiley veteran against Russell. Getting to Russell will result in a couple of picks as he gets careless at times.
Seahawk defense is still elite but could show some signs of aging. DL could be scary good. Sherman was picked on in a few games last season, and the Seahawks shopped him around for a trade. Good chance he is on the downside of his career, the Packers should challenge him with a little speed. Get Davis out there against him later in the game. The Packers should go to a fast pace offense and try to wear the defense down. Start with mid-range passes. Switch out all those RBs and keep them fresh. I only trust Williams pass blocking, so keep with the short/quick passes while he is out. Give AR the option of the quick pass or if it looks like there is more pocket time, some longer range options. I want AR to do more fake passes to alter coverage. Seahawks are always good at swarming to the receiver, I see them peel off their coverage early. A perfectly timed curl and go by Jordy as Adams does a shorter seam route with the fake.
Anyway, here's the tale of the tape:
AR: 28 of 38/290/2/0
WRs: Bennett 6/90/1, Cobb 4/60/1, Nelson 4/45/0, Adams 5/50/0, Davis 2/40/0, Kendricks 3/60/0, RBs 4/35/0
Rush: Montgommery 8/50/1; Williams 12/36/0; Jones 4/16
Sacks: CM3, Brooks, Daniels, Hawkins.
Picks: HaHa and Rollins
Clay is going to look better than many here are expecting
Brooks will have an impact and will be a major talking point on Monday