I'd be surprised if it happened. Even if the rumor is true, odds are Thompson will offer him less than he'll take, as has been the case so many times before as Thx suggests.
While the odds are quite low, it might be worth a few minutes to consider the logic of it:
- Abbrederis didn't make it to preseason; he's a red shirt semi-rookie. He's coming off an ACL. Imagine if the Packers drafted an Abbrederis look-alike WR who missed his senior season with an ACL. How excited would you be to have that guy as the #4 or #5 WR?
- McCarthy has expressed optimism that Janis will take the next step. At the same time, there is concern about his catch radius. No matter how fast a guy might be, and no matter how well he runs routes, if he can't extend for the ball to get "NFL open", and catch it, his utility will be limited.
- There's no depth at the slot position other than Nelson. Having to move Nelson inside on a regular basis if Cobb is injured would be an unhappy circumstance.
- Welker could also be seen as insurance against an injury to either Nelson or Adams. In that event, Cobb could move outside with Welker manning the slot.
- The Packers run a fair amount of 4-wide sets. Without a second slot receiver or a TE well-suited to the slot, a Cobb-Welker dual slot in 4-wide might be interesting.
If there's anything to this rumor, Thompson would be offering a deal commensurate with a #4 or #5 receiver, a veteran who's lost a step, and is a high concussion risk. That wouldn't be much more than the vet minimum in the World According to Thompson.
If by some bizarre turn of events Thompson gave Welker something like 2 years for $4 mil, I'd have to say he should have given Williams that money to bump up the reported last Packer offer of $5.5 mil to the Cleveland level.