Just another example of how relativity, subjectivity and semantics are at the root of most discussions here. I personally think there is a wide, wide gulf between thinking that they won't win and knowing that for sure. Heck, I've been disappointed enough recently to think that they won't make it, but, then again, I didn't think so in 2010, either.
I didn't either going into the last two games of the regular season when we were 8-6 and had to win out just to make the playoffs. It was finally after the Atlanta playoff game when I realized that this was actually happening and no team was going to stop us.