Rodgers 2024

milani

Cheesehead
Joined
Jun 11, 2012
Messages
5,210
Reaction score
2,164
Yeah it’s definitely not. In 2014 Rodgers essentially got us in position to at least represent in the SB, had it not been for our ST and then our D just utterly collapsing.
He at minimum should had 2 visits with 1 Win. Seattle nearly knocked off NE, so I think it’s possible we had a 50/50 chance had we not goofed up.
And MM had a part of it. Playing Not To Lose as Rodgers called it was what we did when we got the ball after the INT. Ironic. But back 4 seasons earlier Sam Shields picked the Bears late when they were trying to tie the game in the Championship game. There was no need to run it back because all we had to do was kneel. But in Seattle we get a late pick and instead of trying to bring it back for another 10-20 yards Peppers tells him to go down. Seattle is a curse for us there. I hope this year we break it.
 

Heyjoe4

Cheesehead
Joined
Apr 30, 2018
Messages
7,732
Reaction score
2,480
Yeah it’s definitely not. In 2014 Rodgers essentially got us in position to at least represent in the SB, had it not been for our ST and then our D just utterly collapsing.
He at minimum should had 2 visits with 1 Win. Seattle nearly knocked off NE, so I think it’s possible we had a 50/50 chance had we not goofed up.
Off topic - that 2014 NFCCG loss I pin on MM. In the end he played not to lose. That demoralizes a team. In that game, the team had dominated for 3 and 1/2 quarters, only to suddenly stop attacking. That is still the most heart-braking loss I've seen since following the Packers, and there have been a fair share of them.

Certainly there were plenty of mistakes to go around. But with like 7 minutes left the team was asked to stop trying to win, and instead avert a loss. The results were predictable. MM shut down his team with enough time still on the clock.
 

Firethorn1001

Cheesehead
Joined
Dec 20, 2015
Messages
1,884
Reaction score
1,445
If I'm a team even remotely thinking of Rodgers in 2025, I'm sitting him down and stating "You're coming in to play QB. You're not in a GM role. We aren't hiring any coaches you want (we have a staff here) and we are not bringing in any previous teammates on your suggestion" More than likely he would be offended and not be interested which would be fine. Sorry, but 2024 performance and the amount of toxicity he brings to the table should strip him of his ability to call any shots. Probably won't because some owners are stupid and desperate...
 
Joined
Aug 16, 2014
Messages
16,716
Reaction score
7,539
The games I’ve watched Rodgers he’s been good. I also wouldn’t call him a “game changing” talent like Lamar or Pat etc. I think Father Time is catching up with him very gradually. While he’s still a Top 50% of the league QB, I don’t even know if he would make the Top 10. Maybe you could argue the intangibles of experience get him close, but for me his production to salary is about correct. Rodgers He’s about right as a $37.5M yearly guy. He’s no longer a force that can dictate league high $$ or dictate who hires who. I’d say he’s approaching replaceable with a Top 2 choice at QB, which is about where the Jets could pick in the next draft.

If I’m the Jets? I’d trade Rodgers and Davante for a Day1 and Round 2 draft selections, plus a few Day 3’s to rebuild. Then I’d silently tank into a Top 2-3 selection and go after Sanders or Ward. Take my licks developing and washing and Sunk $ in 2025 and try to get back to relevant in 2026-2027.
 
Last edited:

Heyjoe4

Cheesehead
Joined
Apr 30, 2018
Messages
7,732
Reaction score
2,480
If I'm a team even remotely thinking of Rodgers in 2025, I'm sitting him down and stating "You're coming in to play QB. You're not in a GM role. We aren't hiring any coaches you want (we have a staff here) and we are not bringing in any previous teammates on your suggestion" More than likely he would be offended and not be interested which would be fine. Sorry, but 2024 performance and the amount of toxicity he brings to the table should strip him of his ability to call any shots. Probably won't because some owners are stupid and desperate...
I agree. I think he's done after this year. He can't move around like he use to in or out of the pocket, even though his arm is still strong. It's just time for him to go. Now where he goes - who knows? Maybe another darkness retreat and he can figure things out.
 

Heyjoe4

Cheesehead
Joined
Apr 30, 2018
Messages
7,732
Reaction score
2,480
The games I’ve watched Rodgers he’s been good. I also wouldn’t call him a “game changing” talent like Lamar or Pat etc. I think Father Time is catching up with him very gradually. While he’s still a Top 50% of the league QB, I don’t even know if he would make the Top 10. Maybe you could argue the intangibles of experience get him close, but for me his production to salary is about correct. Rodgers He’s about right as a $37.5M yearly guy. He’s no longer a force that can dictate league high $$ or dictate who hires who. I’d say he’s approaching replaceable with a Top 3 choice at QB, which is about where the Jets could pick in the next draft.

The Jets would be wise to trade Rodgers and Davante for a Day1 ++ or a Top 10 selection straight up.
In retrospect, Gluten robbed the Jets by getting a 2nd round pick for him. Rodgers doesn't have any trade value left.
 

milani

Cheesehead
Joined
Jun 11, 2012
Messages
5,210
Reaction score
2,164
Off topic - that 2014 NFCCG loss I pin on MM. In the end he played not to lose. That demoralizes a team. In that game, the team had dominated for 3 and 1/2 quarters, only to suddenly stop attacking. That is still the most heart-braking loss I've seen since following the Packers, and there have been a fair share of them.

Certainly there were plenty of mistakes to go around. But with like 7 minutes left the team was asked to stop trying to win, and instead avert a loss. The results were predictable. MM shut down his team with enough time still on the clock.
That one hurt. The blowout post season losses to Atlanta and SF were painful but at least there was closure.
 

Magooch

Cheesehead
Joined
Dec 15, 2021
Messages
1,117
Reaction score
1,091
Adams only has like an 8m dead cap if he’s cut after this season and something like a 38m cap hit if he’s kept on his current contract. So that would be an obvious restructure candidate. And of course he was just traded for a conditional 3rd in the first place.

As I understand it Rodgers has a ~25m cap hit next season but nearly 50m in dead cap if he’s gone. Then a bunch of void years with a cap hit of 21m, 21m, 14m, and 7m from now until 2029. I think he still has some left in the tank but considering his age and contract he has next to no trade value at this point IMO.

I think the Jets would be lucky to get a late day 2 pick for BOTH of them and that’s probably best case scenario.
 
Joined
Aug 16, 2014
Messages
16,716
Reaction score
7,539
As I understand it Rodgers has a ~25m cap hit next season but nearly 50m in dead cap if he’s gone. Then a bunch of void years with a cap hit of 21m, 21m, 14m, and 7m from now until 2029.
Rodgers restructured his contract and his Dead Cap TOTAL to wash him is $49M (using a Post June trade or release)

2025 $14M
2026 $35M

Spotrac

Keep in mind his 2023-2025 deal had a $75m guarantee there’s 0 way to exceed that and he’s almost 2 years into a 3 year deal.

If Rodgers agrees to a trade (he would because they could bench him and a post Jun release is identical $$) He would get paid a substantial overlap and it’s highly likely it would involve a new contract at reasonable $ similar to his current deal.
 
Last edited:

milani

Cheesehead
Joined
Jun 11, 2012
Messages
5,210
Reaction score
2,164
Rodgers restructured his contract and his Dead Cap TOTAL to wash him is $49M (using a Post June trade or release)

2025 $14M
2026 $35M

Spotrac

Keep in mind his 2023-2025 deal had a $75m guarantee there’s 0 way to exceed that and he’s almost 2 years into a 3 year deal.

If Rodgers agrees to a trade (he would because they could bench him and a post Jun release is identical $$) He would get paid a substantial overlap and it’s highly likely it would involve a new contract at reasonable $ similar to his current deal.
So glad it is not our problem.
 

Heyjoe4

Cheesehead
Joined
Apr 30, 2018
Messages
7,732
Reaction score
2,480
That one hurt. The blowout post season losses to Atlanta and SF were painful but at least there was closure.
Exactly. The years they were blown out by Atlanta and SF, we kinda saw it coming and the games were so lopsided. But they should have won that 2014 NFCCG. The cold comfort was that the Seahags blew a certain victory as well against the Patriots in the ensuing SB. I can still see Russell Wilson throwing that stupid, stupid pass into a crowd at the goal line. As I said, cold comfort.

Never thought I'd see anything worse than "4th and 26", but there it was.
 

Heyjoe4

Cheesehead
Joined
Apr 30, 2018
Messages
7,732
Reaction score
2,480
Adams only has like an 8m dead cap if he’s cut after this season and something like a 38m cap hit if he’s kept on his current contract. So that would be an obvious restructure candidate. And of course he was just traded for a conditional 3rd in the first place.

As I understand it Rodgers has a ~25m cap hit next season but nearly 50m in dead cap if he’s gone. Then a bunch of void years with a cap hit of 21m, 21m, 14m, and 7m from now until 2029. I think he still has some left in the tank but considering his age and contract he has next to no trade value at this point IMO.

I think the Jets would be lucky to get a late day 2 pick for BOTH of them and that’s probably best case scenario.
Wow thanks Magooch. I didn't realize the extent of the cap hit from Rodgers going to the Jets. If the Jets do cut him and eat the $50m dead cap next season, does that get them off the hook for the void years?
 

Magooch

Cheesehead
Joined
Dec 15, 2021
Messages
1,117
Reaction score
1,091
Wow thanks Magooch. I didn't realize the extent of the cap hit from Rodgers going to the Jets. If the Jets do cut him and eat the $50m dead cap next season, does that get them off the hook for the void years?
My understanding are that the additional void years come by way of a converted signing bonus if he’s on the team next season but I don’t know exactly how the timing hashes out…
If he’s a pre-June 1 cut/trade it’s 49m dead money in 2025. Post June-1 it’s 14m in 2025 and 35m in 2026…. I think.
 

Heyjoe4

Cheesehead
Joined
Apr 30, 2018
Messages
7,732
Reaction score
2,480
My understanding are that the additional void years come by way of a converted signing bonus if he’s on the team next season but I don’t know exactly how the timing hashes out…
If he’s a pre-June 1 cut/trade it’s 49m dead money in 2025. Post June-1 it’s 14m in 2025 and 35m in 2026…. I think.
Thanks. Makes sense. I don't see either the Jets or Rodgers wanting this relationship to continue past this miserable season. The Jets would be better off dumping him, taking the cap hit, and finding a QB who can help them win games. The Jets are looking at a top 5 pick right now - I think.
 

SudsMcBucky

Cheesehead
Joined
May 17, 2022
Messages
253
Reaction score
201
Location
Buford, GA
My understanding are that the additional void years come by way of a converted signing bonus if he’s on the team next season but I don’t know exactly how the timing hashes out…
If he’s a pre-June 1 cut/trade it’s 49m dead money in 2025. Post June-1 it’s 14m in 2025 and 35m in 2026…. I think.
This should be corrrect according to OTC, too.
 

Heyjoe4

Cheesehead
Joined
Apr 30, 2018
Messages
7,732
Reaction score
2,480
Heh heh heh... :rolleyes: Not our problem.

You must be logged in to see this image or video!
I thought Netflix made pretty good decisions regarding content. Well, we all screw up now and then........

Safe to say I won't be watching. I've reached the point where even his voice is annoying.
 

Thirteen Below

Cheesehead
Joined
Jan 15, 2022
Messages
1,170
Reaction score
957
I agree. I think he's done after this year. He can't move around like he use to in or out of the pocket, even though his arm is still strong. It's just time for him to go. Now where he goes - who knows? Maybe another darkness retreat and he can figure things out.
For much of this season, I would have completely agreed with you and Magooch. But lately, I'm not so sure.

I don't know how many Jets games you've seen this year, but I watch most of them on replay on the NFL network... for a couple of reasons. First of all (just as with Favre) I watched almost every snap the man took for 15 years, and developed an appreciation for the way he plays the game. Plus, I know that when he moves on to whatever commune or ashram he ends up in, I'll never see anyone play quite the same way again.

And the guy still has a lot to offer. I agree with Oldschool's assessment that while he's probably still Top 50%, Top 10 in the NFL is probably over - generally speaking. But, damn... the plays that guy can still make sometimes.

He can't make them consistently, but the other day against Seattle, he still made a number of passes that I don't think any quarterback in the league could make - or would even try. I lost count of the number of times I sat up in my seat and said WOW out loud.

The trouble is, he's obviously aged a lot in the last two years. His mobility is nowhere near what it once was, but he still danced away from a few sacks that a lot of QBs wouldn't have been able to, just because of his savvy. He even got out ahead of a screen play and threw a decent block downfield that made it a first down. He's still playing with fire and intensity.

But his legs, and his footwork, are nowhere near what we used to see. His leg is still stiff from the Achilles injury, plus he's had knee, hamstring, and ankle injuries this season, and they're still affecting him. He still has a rocket arm, but he can't step into some throws the way he used to, and his accuracy is terribly inconsistent by his standards.

He'll throw a 30-yard laser beam directly into a receiver's hands, in just the one place it will fit, and on the next play miss a wide-open man by a yard or more. His completion rate and QB rating are the lowest they've ever been in his career, and he struggles to sustain a long drive without killing it with a bad pass.

I don't see him leading a team into the playoffs the way he's playing now, or lasting more than a weekend even if he does get there, but I can see some teams taking a flyer with him and see if he can catch lightning in that bottle one last time. And I hope somebody does, because I'd really like to have one more year of watching him throw the occasional highlight reel pass.
 
Last edited:

Heyjoe4

Cheesehead
Joined
Apr 30, 2018
Messages
7,732
Reaction score
2,480
For much of this season, I would have completely agreed with you and Magooch. But lately, I'm not so sure.

I don't know how many Jets games you've seen this year, but I watch most of them on replay on the NFL network... for a couple of reasons. First of all (just as with Favre) I watched almost every snap the man took for 15 years, and developed an appreciation for the way he plays the game. Plus, I know that when he moves on to whatever commune or ashram he ends up in, I'll never see anyone play quite the same way again.

And the guy still has a lot to offer. I agree with Oldschool's assessment that while he's probably still Top 50%, Top 10 in the NFL is probably over - generally speaking. But, damn... the plays that guy can still make sometimes.

He can't make them consistently, but the other day against Seattle, he still made a number of passes that I don't think any quarterback in the league could make - or would even try. I lost count of the number of times I sat up in my seat and said WOW out loud.

The trouble is, he's obviously aged a lot in the last two years. His mobility is nowhere near what it once was, but he still danced away from a few sacks that a lot of QBs wouldn't have been able to, just because of his savvy. He even got out ahead of a screen play and threw a decent block downfield that made it a first down. He's still playing with fire and intensity.

But his legs, and his footwork, are nowhere near what we used to see. His leg is still stiff from the Achilles injury, plus he's had knee, hamstring, and ankle injuries this season, and they're still affecting him. He still has a rocket arm, but he can't step into some throws the way he used to, and his accuracy is terribly inconsistent by his standards.

He'll throw a 30-yard laser beam directly into a receiver's hands, in just the one place it will fit, and on the next play miss a wide-open man by a yard or more. His completion rate and QB rating are the lowest they've ever been in his career, and he struggles to sustain a long drive without killing it with a bad pass.

I don't see him leading a team into the playoffs the way he's playing now, or lasting more than a weekend even if he does get there, but I can see some teams taking a flyer with him and see if he can catch lightning in that bottle one last time. And I hope somebody does, because I'd really like to have one more year of watching him throw the occasional highlight reel pass.
All good points and I don't disagree. His situation this year was made almost impossible by the expectations - although he did nothing to try and reset those expectations.

I haven't watched him play much at all this year. He can still make passes no one else can, and that is fun to watch.

Money isn't, or shouldn't be an issue for him. I just don't see where he can play where he has a realistic chance of getting to the playoffs. And if he can't find that situation, probably best to end it. I'm pretty sure he won't be playing for the Jets in 2025.
 

Thirteen Below

Cheesehead
Joined
Jan 15, 2022
Messages
1,170
Reaction score
957
I just don't see where he can play where he has a realistic chance of getting to the playoffs. And if he can't find that situation, probably best to end it. I'm pretty sure he won't be playing for the Jets in 2025.
I'm not so sure. I have a hard time imagining Rodgers passing up an opportunity to prove how good he still is, but then again maybe his pride is just too much to let his last year or two be all about guiding a 6-11 team to a Top 5 draft pick.

Amd if it weren't the Jets we're talking about here, I'd fully agree it's unlikely he'd be back there next year. But good grief... they've made such a hurricane of terrible decisions regarding Rodgers over the last 2 or 3 years, it's hard to predict that they'll suddenly wake up and learn their lesson. I've never seen an individual player do so much extreme damage to a franchise in my life, and every step of the way, they just bent over and said, "may I please have another, Mr. Rodgers?"

People and organizations do that sometimes - they make a really rash and risky decision that blows up in their faces, and instead of dropping the matter, they double down and make another risky decision in order to fix the damage caused by the first. The Jets have been like a gambler at an Aaron Rodgers slot machine, just feeding him quarter after quarter after quarter.

At some point, the self-destructive cycle always gets broken. But the Jets have poured so many quarters into Rodgers, I wouldn't be surprised if they just keep going until they run out of quarters. They're like the Bears of the AFC.
 
Last edited:

Heyjoe4

Cheesehead
Joined
Apr 30, 2018
Messages
7,732
Reaction score
2,480
I'm not so sure. I have a hard time imagining Rodgers passing up an opportunity to prove how good he still is, but then again maybe his pride is just too much to let his last year or two be all about guiding a 6-11 team to a Top 5 draft pick.

Amd if it weren't the Jets we're talking about here, I'd fully agree it's unlikely he'd be back there next year. But good grief... they've made such a hurricane of terrible decisions regarding Rodgers over the last 2 or 3 years, it's hard to predict that they'll suddenly wake up and learn their lesson. I've never seen an individual player do so much extreme damage to a franchise in my life, and every step of the way, they just bent over and said, "may I please have another, Mr. Rodgers?"

People and organizations do that sometimes - they make a really rash and risky decision that blows up in their faces, and instead of dropping the matter, they double down and make another risky decision in order to fix the damage caused by the first. The Jets have been like a gambler at an Aaron Rodgers slot machine, just feeding him quarter after quarter after quarter.

At some point, the self-destructive cycle always gets broken. But the Jets have poured so many quarters into Rodgers, I wouldn't be surprised if they just keep going until they run out of quarters. They're like the Bears of the AFC.
Yeah I guess it wouldn't be a surprise if he came back to the Jets in 2025. I wish I could say I'd be surprised if the Jets want him back, but as you note, they bought the whole Rodgers Deal, as toxic as it is.

Gotta feel bad for Jets fans (or not). The GM finally put a team together that was 1) home grown and 2) loaded with talent just about everywhere but QB. Then they bring Rodgers in and allow him to dictate additional personnel moves and "infect" the team. That was dumb.
 

gopkrs

Cheesehead
Joined
May 12, 2014
Messages
5,851
Reaction score
1,529
I wonder if the achilles surgery hasn't affected him this year. Especially after seeing the way Cousins has been playing lately. He hasn't seemed to be throwing poorly this year, but not up to par. I think if he isn't on the Jets; there will be another team that will need a QB if only for the interim if he really wants to play. I'm not going to try and figure out which teams as I am only concerned with The Packers this year right now.
 

lambeaulambo

Cheesehead
Joined
Jan 30, 2010
Messages
2,774
Reaction score
828
Location
Rest Home
I wonder if the achilles surgery hasn't affected him this year. Especially after seeing the way Cousins has been playing lately. He hasn't seemed to be throwing poorly this year, but not up to par. I think if he isn't on the Jets; there will be another team that will need a QB if only for the interim if he really wants to play. I'm not going to try and figure out which teams as I am only concerned with The Packers this year right now.
Dallas - Cleveland - Carolina - Giants all please step right up for the primadonna fest.
 

Heyjoe4

Cheesehead
Joined
Apr 30, 2018
Messages
7,732
Reaction score
2,480
Dallas - Cleveland - Carolina - Giants all please step right up for the primadonna fest.
He would only go for Dallas. It's big enough for his big head and Jerry would love the circus. Can't win anyway - ever the showman, Jerry goes all in on nuttiness. Rodgers has worn out his welcome in NYC.
 

Members online

Top