Drew
Cheesehead
- Joined
- Jan 18, 2017
- Messages
- 46
- Reaction score
- 4
As explosive as the Falcons are on offense, I still believe Dallas was a better overall team. The Cowboys sole mistake despite Elliott having a great game was not feeding Dez the ball early and often, a mistake I feel Atlanta will not be making with Julio.
Our secondary is not built to handle all the speed Atlanta brings, yes our linebackers are fast but Atlanta is faster and our DBs will get burned if Ryan gets time in the pocket. The only way we slow down their offense is to play physical with their receivers, gamble on press coverage and get after Ryan. We will lose every time to soft coverages.
Offensively I'm not super concerned, Atlanta's defense does not frighten me, especially their red zone defense. No one on that team is threatening Rodgers- that being said I am fully expecting we utilize Michaels more to balance out our pass and run attack. I suspect Atlanta will be using more of a spy/contain strategy with an occasional outside blitz to keep Rodgers inside the pocket.
I predict a fairly high scoring game, 34 to 37 in favor of the Pack.
A lot of people are down playing our defense because of some of the hideous metrics we have but i really like the way they play, especially down the stretch. Here is the real truth. We are probably somewhere around between 12th -16th ranked overall and trending upward. In 12 games this season to include the Seattle win, we have had double digit leads in the fourth qtr, sometimes by more the 20 points. When this happens we go to a real soft cover 3 prevent, that usually results in long drives and a scores against us. This is why the metrics are skewed. 3 weeks ago we were beating the Saints 35-10 at HT and we shut it down to the point were we barely hung on. We even had a 17 point lead on the Chargers and totally blew the game. I'm not worried about this week because there is not such thing as a safe lead vs GB and too much at stake.
Looking at the games we lost, the only team that really took it to us was the Eagles and they pounded the rock on us in Philly and played keep away on a muddy surface. Other teams that beat us put up decent rushing numbers. Chiefs beat us with a kick off return, a pick six, a pick 2 and a fake punt for a TD. Bucs beat us at home on Opening day in a shootout by a TD, but the offense didn't know what they had and Doug Martin had a great day. Seattle got us in Seattle by pressuring the crap out of Matt in the first half. Chargers RB had a decent day too.
Mcarthy is a great coach and will try to exploit this with Ty Montgomery, especially coming out of the backfield with catches. He is a bad match up for us unlike Rawls who is not a threat to catch. If the Falcons D cannot stop Ty I think its going to be a long day.