Alright many asked when I was gonna find time to share my thoughts and predictions on the 2023 class for their rookie seasons...especially since the first time I tried this I did way better than I ever thought possible (so lower expectations, no way I repeat that one you can check out
HERE).
That said here we go:
#13 - Lukas Van Ness
Okay, so I'm torn on Lukas as there are multiple reasons it is very hard to gauge where and how he ends up getting snaps. With his size, there may be some snaps reduced inside he otherwise wouldn't see...there is the Gary injury and when he comes back and also when is he 100%....there is also just the fact a rookie edge can and does typically struggle. That said I'm going to assume Gary is back week 1 given his recent PUP removal. I'm also going to predict that at least at first Hollins and Enagbare at worst see similar snaps or more (Hollins especially) early on then Baby Hercules. All that said his talent and just massive upside leads me to think like DeVonte Wyatt, things worse case start clicking that final 1/3 of the season or so. I'll predict that he outdoes Rashan Gary's rookie year in sacks (he had 2) because Gary was behind a stacked and clear edge room (Smith, Smith, Fackrell)....I'll predict 4.5 Sacks / 25 Tackles and a couple starts even sprinkled in there. Sad thing is from a predictive standpoint LVN could see far less snaps if say Hollins just clicks like he has shown he may...or increase heavy with Gary ailing or even a Preston Smith issue (either play or health). I'll also say that QB hits or pressures will be impressive out of him his rookie campaign and show what might be next in 2024 for LVN and this front.
#42 - Luke Musgrave
I've got to remember this young man is a likely starting rookie, a TE, and will have a "first year" QB at the helm. Alone any of those three things are massive limiting factors, altogether you'd have to ignore logic to not be concerned. All that said though I do strongly feel Musgrave is going to put forth a rookie TE campaign which has been VERY rare in GB.....and I believe that if Musgrave is healthy in all but say 2 games at most, he will break Bubba Franks' rookie TE campaign (which is the best rookie TE campaign in my lifetime if memory serves in GB). Frank's saw 55 Targets / 34 receptions / 363 yards / 1 TD.....I believe Musgrave goes for 60 Targets / 45 Receptions / 500 yards / 4 TDs...I will also predict that his blocking will surprise folks and bet PFF grade of over 55 or so happens. Not great but a solid mark for a rookie and well above typical Tonyan type level.
#50 - Jayden Reed
Jayden is electric for sure, extremely shifty in getting open and with the ball in his hands he can eat up space in a hurry....BUT he is clearly #3 or #4 on the depth chart, is a rookie as well....BUT I foresee easily him producing and replacing Cobb on this team production wise OR close - I'll go slightly under at say 40 Targets / 33 Receptions / 330 yards / 2 TDs...I think him and Toure get similar targets, just a matter of who produces more or who is hot that may see slightly more.
#78 - Tucker Kraft
He isn't going to enter the year as the clear and above TE2, yes Deguara is our HBack/TE type but he for sure gets more snaps initially than Tucker IMO and I suspect unless preseason shows he is ready that Tyler Davis steals snaps too from Kraft. However, Kraft I strongly think will finish the year easily as the one getting the second most inline TE snaps and with that will come some target shares. I predict 24 Targets / 17 Receptions / 200 Yards / 2 TDs
#116 - Colby Wooden
Wooden to me might surprise some folks, but it will take time. In his rookie campaign he will be there for rotational breathers and perhaps to deliver some interior pressure. IF we hadn't lost Reed / Lowry both I'd say Wooden gets chances similar to either Slaton or Wyatt of last year...but with two losses and just rookies drafted to fill that room I think Wooden gets a touch earlier chances to see snaps perhaps. With that not saying he is better, but I think he produces more stats than Wyatt's rookie year. I'll go 2 sacks / 20 tackles...he makes a big play or two in a BIG game though that folks absolutely will circle as "THAT is why Gute liked hiim"...coming from SEC, he understands big moments.
#149 - Sean Clifford
Locks in the QB2 role, sees limited action but in it I'll say ends the year with something like 24 Atts / 15 Completions / 155 yards / 1 INT / 1 TD
#159 - Dontayvion Wicks
I expect he makes the roster and slowly begins to show signs of perhaps being our next Lazard type possession guy. Won't see the field a ton, but I feel more than say Toure did last year...and with Watson and Doubs both missing time rookie year who knows. I'll say Wicks puts up around 20 Targets / 12 receptions / 147 yards / 1 TD
#179 - Karl Brooks
With Slaton's play clicking and growing, Wyatt as well...and Wooden being the better rookie in camp I like to think Brooks and his hybrid body type is going to get a slow transition to the NFL but will slowly produce some solid snaps and leave us all wondering what he may be in 2024 (ala TJ Slaton rookie type campaign)...I'll predict .5 sacks but he will toss in a PD or a FF or FR type play and perhaps a TFL or two.
#207 - Anders Carlson
I'm torn here....but in the end I believe through growing pains and a willingness to let growth happen Bissacia is given this year to work with his guy. He barely hangs onto his job, but is still here when the season ends...he may get a week or two off to struggles or maybe a "injury claim/bug" but his leg strength is TOO BIG for us to ignore and hope a solid offseason and 2024 is where it all comes together. I'll say he delivers a year similar to Cade York's in CLE last year... hits on around 77% of his kicks with his worst percent coming from 40-49 range but hits some massive 50+ ones, chip shots and XPAs he hits around 95% of.
#232 - Carrington Valentine
This is the first possible PS, but as I said when we drafted him he IS a 53 roster man. I predict he makes it, serves as quite the reserve and ST type. Not going to predict injuries or such so won't predict stats as I don't think he sees many defensive snaps, but he makes the team, makes some ST plays and never relinquishes his 53 spot.
#235 - Lew Nichols
PS squad stash.
#242 - Anthony Johnson
PS with two gameday elevations...BUT if Owens, Ford, Leavitt or Moore struggle or fail he will quickly elevate.
#256 - Grant Dubose
PS stash, but eventually let go.