This game really worries me. Seattle has been very inconsistent and pretty terrible (for the most part) on the road. This trend needs to continue for the Packers sake.
So far this season on the road, the Hawks have scored 92 and allowed 95. Now their 3 biggest offensive showings out of their 6 road game have been against the Jets, Saints, and Patriots with scores of 27, 20, and 31 respectively. Their 3 other games they scored a total of 14 points. According to Football Outsiders they all rank in the NFL at 27, 25, and 19. All lower then Green Bay ranked at 18. So they have shown the ability to take advantage of less then stellar defenses on the road. But on the flip side, those 3 teams are the only teams they have played on the road where they allowed more then 14 points with 17 to the Jets, 25 to the Saints, and 24 to the Patriots. Green Bays offense should see some success, especially with Thomas out for the season.
I think Green Bays key for success on offense is to have a successful running game. I don't want to see them force the run, something MM tends to do sometimes, but it needs to be successful enough to keep the defense honest. I expect to see a healthy serving of Ty in the backfield. He has been a great offensive weapon and he needs to be used more. I also think that Jordy or Adams, whoever lines up on the opposite side of Sherman, will have a big game. Another stat from Football Outsiders is the Seahawks rank 20th in defending teams number 2 receiver. They are also in the middle of the NFL, 14, defending the short pass. Again, the offense should see some success.
It will all rest on the defense though. Have the past 2 weeks been the result of the defense getting their crap together and playing good as a unit or has it been the result of a defense playing against 2 struggling offenses? We will find that out this weekend. Due to the Seahawks line, I think the front 7 will be able to contain Rawls and the running game for the most part. I still expect them to be able to get some yards but nothing like the Cowboys game. As for the passing game, outside of Baldwin and Graham, the secondary should be able to take care of business. Though if they are not able to apply pressure on Wilson, will be a long game. Perry being out will hurt the pass rush, so CM3 will actually have to perform to the level he is being paid to perform at. Peppers will also need to step up.
This is a very winnable game. The Packers just need to play for a complete 4 quarters. If they do I truly believe they will come out with the W.