H
HardRightEdge
Guest
"Probable" was eliminated from NFL injury reporting prior to the 2016 season. PO needs to update their stuff. While PO alludes to injury report gamesmanship, they go ahead and use it anyway. Frankly, I think they should stick to whether a guy plays or not rather than make assumptions about the "walking wounded".FO's explanation of their metric:
These numbers do not simply add up the number of games missed. With Football Outsiders' adjusted games lost (AGL) metric, we are able to quantify how much teams were affected by injuries based on two principles: (1) Injuries to starters, replacement starters, and important situational reserves (No. 3 wide receiver, nickelback, etc.) matter more than injuries to bench warmers; and (2) Injured players who do take the field are usually playing with reduced ability, which is why AGL is based not strictly on whether the player is active for the game or not, but instead is based on the player's listed status that week (IR/PUP, out, doubtful, questionable or probable).
As long as NFL teams are solely responsible for producing weekly injury reports, we cannot say that every single injury has been accounted for, but secrecy is an unavoidable aspect of this part of the game.