I'm not picking Washington to win outright against Tampa, but I'd pick them against the spread, which is currently TB -8. Washington has the fourth ranked scoring defense (second in yards allowed) and are seventh in takeaways. Their offense looks putrid on paper (30th in yards, 25th in scoring), but that's a little deceiving, because they've been better with Smith at QB. They're 5-1 with him as a starter, and have averaged 25.6 PPG in those games, which would be good for 13th in the league. Since week 7, the defense has allowed only 16.7 PPG, which would be the best in the league over the course of the whole season. Washington could very well beat Tampa, I'm not going to sleep on them. We've seen 7-9 teams sneak into the playoffs and win before.