Hey, gang, my first post. Every year, I do a little analysis of the upcoming season based on numbers from this season-- average number of points scored and allowed, home field advantage, and so on. Of course, using 2014 stats to predict 2015 results doesn't give a 100% accurate picture, but it's a start.
The good news-- it looks like we have a very favorable schedule. True, we have to play the Seahawks and the Cowboys, but in the friendly confines of Lambeau rather on the road. I don't rank the Packers as the best team in the NFL, but I don't see them losing a home game-- shades of the '90's. On the road, there will be some tough tests, to be sure-- Lions are now a threat, Minnesota and Chicago with new coaches are question marks. Cardinals faded this year after a promising start, KC is good but not great, 49ers were a disappointment that will take some time to turn around, Oakland is, well, Oakland. The only game I see the Packers losing is Denver, and that could depend on if Peyton Manning returns. 15-1, bay-bee!
My number-crunching crystal ball has Dallas and Seattle both finishing 13-3, New Orleans takes the NFC South at 9-7. Philadelphia also has a fortunate schedule and will get a wild card at 13-3 (losing tiebreaker to Dallas for NFC East crown), Atlanta squeaks in at 8-8, everyone else in the NFC has a losing record. (So say the numbers, anyway.) With the #1 seed, nobody beats us at home, so we're off to San Fran for SB 50.
New England and Denver both finish 13-3, but with a favorable schedule, it's the Ravens' year at 14-2 to get the top seed, so that's who we meet-- and beat-- to bring the Lombardi trophy back home.
The better news-- if we get Cobb and Bulaga back, we're substantially the same team, if not better. If we stay as healthy as we did this year and we win the games we're supposed to, it'll be championship #14.
Again, this is based on statistics, not wishful thinking, though of course there are three types of falsehoods-- lies, damned lies, and statistics. Do I guarantee results? No, but my gun-to-my-head answer is the Packers win the Super Bowl next season.