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<blockquote data-quote="Dantés" data-source="post: 1060492" data-attributes="member: 12283"><p>Here's a way to think about the ideal pick in round 1.</p><p></p><p>Of the key needs (both immediate and with 2026 in mind), which one sees the steepest drop-off between #23 and day 2?</p><p></p><p>For the sake of argument, agree with me that the big needs on the team are, in no particular order, WR, OT, DT, and DE. </p><p></p><p>Here's how I'm thinking about these spots in terms of drop-off:</p><p></p><p><strong>1. WR: </strong>I think the least significant drop-off comes at WR. I really like McMillan, Golden, Egbuka, Burden, etc., but I think Higgins, Royals, Bech, and Ayomanor are pretty close but will come at a discount. Higgins may end up in round 1 when it's all said and done-- I have no idea why he isn't considered on a level with some of the day 1 types. </p><p></p><p><strong>2. DT: </strong>On day one, you have Kenneth Grant, but on day 2 there's going to be a Jamaree Caldwell (another mammoth man who moves really well. On day one, you have Derrick Harmon, but on day 2 there's Alfred Collins and Deone Walker (stout guys with freaky length). On day one (maybe), you have Tyleik Williams, who has a lot of pop in his hands and can stack/shed, but on day 2 there's Josh Farmer who is a decent facsimile. </p><p></p><p><strong>3. DE: </strong>I really, really love some of the edge prospects that project to be there at #23, but there is no denying that the depth of this class is going to push some good talent into round 2. Landon Jackson, Jackson Sawyer, Jordan Burch, Bradyn Swinson, Princely Umanmielen and I could go on. </p><p></p><p><strong>4. OT: </strong>Here's where I see the steep drop. Let's say that Banks, Simmons, and Conerly are in play for pick #23. I really struggle to see anyone who comes close to any of those guys on day 2. Ersery, Williams, Belton, Trapilo don't really fit the Packer profile. Milum is length-deficient, but his height makes the safety net of moving inside questionable. Mbow is also short-armed and doesn't seem to fit the power-profile that they've been targeting lately. Donovan Jackson could be a fit, but I would be shocked if he made it to #54. </p><p></p><p>So from this perspective, IF I'm right and the Packers have fairly similar priority on these three positions, it would make the most sense to take the tackle first if he's on the board. </p><p></p><p>Banks, Simmons, and Conerly all fit the Packers type. Simmons' injury in October was a torn patellar tendon, which is not a straightforward proposition. So whether they're comfortable with him will be impossible to say.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Dantés, post: 1060492, member: 12283"] Here's a way to think about the ideal pick in round 1. Of the key needs (both immediate and with 2026 in mind), which one sees the steepest drop-off between #23 and day 2? For the sake of argument, agree with me that the big needs on the team are, in no particular order, WR, OT, DT, and DE. Here's how I'm thinking about these spots in terms of drop-off: [B]1. WR: [/B]I think the least significant drop-off comes at WR. I really like McMillan, Golden, Egbuka, Burden, etc., but I think Higgins, Royals, Bech, and Ayomanor are pretty close but will come at a discount. Higgins may end up in round 1 when it's all said and done-- I have no idea why he isn't considered on a level with some of the day 1 types. [B]2. DT: [/B]On day one, you have Kenneth Grant, but on day 2 there's going to be a Jamaree Caldwell (another mammoth man who moves really well. On day one, you have Derrick Harmon, but on day 2 there's Alfred Collins and Deone Walker (stout guys with freaky length). On day one (maybe), you have Tyleik Williams, who has a lot of pop in his hands and can stack/shed, but on day 2 there's Josh Farmer who is a decent facsimile. [B]3. DE: [/B]I really, really love some of the edge prospects that project to be there at #23, but there is no denying that the depth of this class is going to push some good talent into round 2. Landon Jackson, Jackson Sawyer, Jordan Burch, Bradyn Swinson, Princely Umanmielen and I could go on. [B]4. OT: [/B]Here's where I see the steep drop. Let's say that Banks, Simmons, and Conerly are in play for pick #23. I really struggle to see anyone who comes close to any of those guys on day 2. Ersery, Williams, Belton, Trapilo don't really fit the Packer profile. Milum is length-deficient, but his height makes the safety net of moving inside questionable. Mbow is also short-armed and doesn't seem to fit the power-profile that they've been targeting lately. Donovan Jackson could be a fit, but I would be shocked if he made it to #54. So from this perspective, IF I'm right and the Packers have fairly similar priority on these three positions, it would make the most sense to take the tackle first if he's on the board. Banks, Simmons, and Conerly all fit the Packers type. Simmons' injury in October was a torn patellar tendon, which is not a straightforward proposition. So whether they're comfortable with him will be impossible to say. [/QUOTE]
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