I think you've had one too many shots if you think we have a shot at this one. This is a money game for the Steelers, pad your stats for next years contract.
I will have to say this. I have seen bigger upsets that this if the Packers were to win. But a lot of planets have to align. Let's try to be completely objective and look at what has to happen for such an upset to be possible.
First, we need to give up on the idea of going downfield on their defense with Hundley. We need to play the **** and dunk and be content to pick up 6-10 yards at a time on pass plays. Hundley showed against the Bears he can do those things. Some designed bootlegs for him might not be a bad idea either.
Second, we MUST run as much as possible and average 3.5+ to keep the clock running to keep the scoring low to average.
Third, we have to get pressure out of the front 4.
Fourth, we absolutely have to win the turnover battle.
Fifth, we need some big plays on special teams. One or two big plays on ST can completely sway the outcome. A TD return would be great, but even just a good long return that completely negates the punt is a big boost.
If we can accomplish those 5 things, or maybe even just 4 of the 5, then we should be in position to have a close, mid-scoring game down the stretch and with a little luck we could come out on top.
Now lets have some fun and try to quantify our chances (this is purely speculative, of course). I think the odds of us accomplishing those goals are roughly as follows:
#1: 50%
#2: 40%
#3: 35%
#4: 40%
#5: 50%
Multiply them together and we have about a 1.4-2.8% chance of winning, so YES, we can win this game! No, really our odds are probably a little better than that but this was all for ***** and grins anyway!