Carl
Cheesehead
A coach has to put his team in a position to win even before they do win. That is the Jimmy V philosophy. He also needs to sometimes think a little like Woody Hayes.
When you pass the ball 3 things can happen and 2 of them are bad.
Michigan botched its punt at the end vs. Michigan State. The Browns had their FG blocked at the end of the Ravens game. Both teams turned sure victory into defeat. However, when you look at distance, weather, and turf in this case, a punt has the greater chance of success. 10 points vs. 13 points is still a 2 score game.
Even with a Brady, Manning, or Brees in that situation most coaches do not throw even if the receiver is Jerry Rice. It's just not sound football. It's trying to be cute.
When the Packers ran the ball late in the NFC Championship, they were called too conservative. If Rodgers throws a TD instead of an INT vs the Raiders, there's no discussing the play call. Execution is more important than the call.