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Where will we draft?
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<blockquote data-quote="PackAttack12" data-source="post: 749611" data-attributes="member: 11933"><p>Assuming the following:</p><p></p><p>- Vikings win the North <img src="/styles/default/xenforo/smilies/frown.png" class="smilie" loading="lazy" alt=":(" title="Frown :(" data-shortname=":(" /></p><p>- 1 wild card comes from the South (three teams currently above .500)</p><p></p><p>Both are pretty safe assumptions at this point. The Packers only avenue to capturing a playoff birth would be under a couple of additional assumptions:</p><p></p><p>- Packers find a way to win another game without Aaron Rodgers</p><p>- Aaron Rodgers comes back in week 15 and wins the last three, vaulting the Packers to 9-7</p><p>- If the Packers do not win another game without Aaron Rodgers, I doubt he takes the field until 2018.</p><p></p><p>Question is:</p><p></p><p>Will 9-7 be good enough to get a wild card this year?</p><p></p><p>Current wild card teams: (all of this is assuming a Rodgers return in week 15)</p><p></p><p><strong>Carolina Panthers -</strong> we have the opportunity to hold the tie breaker on them with the week 15 matchup</p><p><strong>Atlanta Falcons -</strong> unfortunately, we would have to finish ahead of the Falcons to knock them out. They do however still have New Orleans twice, Minnesota, and Carolina on the schedule.</p><p><strong>Seattle Seahawks -</strong> we have the tie breaker. Will be interesting if they can hold up after all the injuries. Got three tough ones coming up after going to Frisco (Philly, Jax, LAR's, and even Dallas in week 16 with Zeke back)</p><p><strong>Detroit Lions -</strong> Still have the week 17 matchup to potentially hold the tie breaker. A Lions loss to the Bears in a couple weeks would have huge. That would mean that a Packers win in week 17 would for sure give the team the tie breaker over the Lions. Unfortunately though, the Lions have a laughably weak schedule prior to week 17 (Ravens, Bucs, Bears, Bengals). But they're still the Lions.</p><p><strong>Dallas Cowboys -</strong> I don't think they will stay above water. They look like a disaster right now.</p><p><strong>Washington Redskins</strong> - dealing with a ton of injuries. Will be interesting to see if they can stay above water.</p><p></p><p>If Aaron Rodgers doesn't take the field again this season, we're looking at 6-10, with a win possibly coming against either Tampa or Cleveland (best opportunities) I would think 7-9 would be the ceiling. On the other hand, if the team wins another game and Rodgers comes back, we're looking at a possible 9-7 with a 10-6 ceiling.</p><p></p><p>I actually believe that we will do just enough to justify getting AR back on the field in week 15 because McCarthy and crew are going to be absolutely desperate to take the focus off of what we're seeing right now. Out of desperation and exhausting all options and effort, the team will find a way to beat some combination of Tampa/Cleveland. And whether AR can pull it off and get us to the playoffs, the team will say "Well we won 9 games without Rodgers for half of the season. Get ready for next year" Status quo.</p><p></p><p>I honestly believe that's what is going to happen.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="PackAttack12, post: 749611, member: 11933"] Assuming the following: - Vikings win the North :( - 1 wild card comes from the South (three teams currently above .500) Both are pretty safe assumptions at this point. The Packers only avenue to capturing a playoff birth would be under a couple of additional assumptions: - Packers find a way to win another game without Aaron Rodgers - Aaron Rodgers comes back in week 15 and wins the last three, vaulting the Packers to 9-7 - If the Packers do not win another game without Aaron Rodgers, I doubt he takes the field until 2018. Question is: Will 9-7 be good enough to get a wild card this year? Current wild card teams: (all of this is assuming a Rodgers return in week 15) [B]Carolina Panthers -[/B] we have the opportunity to hold the tie breaker on them with the week 15 matchup [B]Atlanta Falcons -[/B] unfortunately, we would have to finish ahead of the Falcons to knock them out. They do however still have New Orleans twice, Minnesota, and Carolina on the schedule. [B]Seattle Seahawks -[/B] we have the tie breaker. Will be interesting if they can hold up after all the injuries. Got three tough ones coming up after going to Frisco (Philly, Jax, LAR's, and even Dallas in week 16 with Zeke back) [B]Detroit Lions -[/B] Still have the week 17 matchup to potentially hold the tie breaker. A Lions loss to the Bears in a couple weeks would have huge. That would mean that a Packers win in week 17 would for sure give the team the tie breaker over the Lions. Unfortunately though, the Lions have a laughably weak schedule prior to week 17 (Ravens, Bucs, Bears, Bengals). But they're still the Lions. [B]Dallas Cowboys -[/B] I don't think they will stay above water. They look like a disaster right now. [B]Washington Redskins[/B] - dealing with a ton of injuries. Will be interesting to see if they can stay above water. If Aaron Rodgers doesn't take the field again this season, we're looking at 6-10, with a win possibly coming against either Tampa or Cleveland (best opportunities) I would think 7-9 would be the ceiling. On the other hand, if the team wins another game and Rodgers comes back, we're looking at a possible 9-7 with a 10-6 ceiling. I actually believe that we will do just enough to justify getting AR back on the field in week 15 because McCarthy and crew are going to be absolutely desperate to take the focus off of what we're seeing right now. Out of desperation and exhausting all options and effort, the team will find a way to beat some combination of Tampa/Cleveland. And whether AR can pull it off and get us to the playoffs, the team will say "Well we won 9 games without Rodgers for half of the season. Get ready for next year" Status quo. I honestly believe that's what is going to happen. [/QUOTE]
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