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<blockquote data-quote="Thirteen Below" data-source="post: 1061286" data-attributes="member: 18006"><p>Yeah; you're watching a 23-year old man who (in this case) has played for I believe 3 different programs over 5 years, and is competing against young men 2,3,4 years younger with only a year or 2 on the field. You <em>expect </em>him to excel, so if and when he does, it's hard to assess how good he will be at the next level - when <em>he </em>is the one competing against older, more experienced players. He'll be defending WRs his age who sometimes are already in their 2nd or even 3rd NFL season. </p><p></p><p>Plus, you have to ask yourself - how much better than this is he going to get? Is he already mostly topped out? When you draft a college player, you're projecting where he is going to be 2, 3, 4 years down the road - you're anticipating that he will get better than he is, and with a 21-year old kid, that's a reasonable expectation.</p><p></p><p>With a 23-year old man? Maybe he doesn't have much more headroom than what you already see. </p><p></p><p>And how much wear and tear on those shoulders? A study done between 2009 and 2015 (released in 2018) showed that 1 out of every 3 defensive backs tested at the NFL combine already had partial labrum tears and other injuries before they are even drafted, and the longer their college careers, the more likely they are to have latent shoulder injuries. </p><p></p><p>[URL unfurl="true"]https://drmillett.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/07/prevalence-shoulder-labrum-pathology-collegiate-football-players-nfl-scouting-combine.pdf[/URL]</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Thirteen Below, post: 1061286, member: 18006"] Yeah; you're watching a 23-year old man who (in this case) has played for I believe 3 different programs over 5 years, and is competing against young men 2,3,4 years younger with only a year or 2 on the field. You [I]expect [/I]him to excel, so if and when he does, it's hard to assess how good he will be at the next level - when [I]he [/I]is the one competing against older, more experienced players. He'll be defending WRs his age who sometimes are already in their 2nd or even 3rd NFL season. Plus, you have to ask yourself - how much better than this is he going to get? Is he already mostly topped out? When you draft a college player, you're projecting where he is going to be 2, 3, 4 years down the road - you're anticipating that he will get better than he is, and with a 21-year old kid, that's a reasonable expectation. With a 23-year old man? Maybe he doesn't have much more headroom than what you already see. And how much wear and tear on those shoulders? A study done between 2009 and 2015 (released in 2018) showed that 1 out of every 3 defensive backs tested at the NFL combine already had partial labrum tears and other injuries before they are even drafted, and the longer their college careers, the more likely they are to have latent shoulder injuries. [URL unfurl="true"]https://drmillett.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/07/prevalence-shoulder-labrum-pathology-collegiate-football-players-nfl-scouting-combine.pdf[/URL] [/QUOTE]
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