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<blockquote data-quote="HardRightEdge" data-source="post: 685457"><p>Thanks for the clarification. I find this elaboration credible.</p><p></p><p>The "air yards" in these stats only include air yards on completions. They don't include air yards on <em><strong>incompletions.</strong></em></p><p></p><p>In other words, if an offense throws intermediate-to-deep with regularity and has a low completion percent on those throws relative to league (the Packers first 9 halves this season), their air yards will look a lot like a team that throws deep infrequently (the Packers last 3 halves this season, or guys like Alex Smith for example, though Rodgers can and has executed that approach far better than those guys). </p><p></p><p>As you suggest, one would expect these air yards numbers to be highly correlated with yards per attempt, which they are. So, I don't find anything particularly revelatory in the "air yards" stats.</p><p></p><p>Here are few Packer stats/league rankings some might find revelatory:</p><p></p><p>- 3rd. Down Conversions: 50.6% / 1st. in the league</p><p>- Time of Possession: 31:36 / 6th. in the league</p><p>- Fewest Number of Punts: 17 / 1st. in the league</p><p>- Giveaway / Takeaway: -2 / tied for 18th. in the league with the likes of Chicago, Cleveland and San Francisco</p><p></p><p>If the Giveaway/Takeaway was just the league median of 1.5, the Time of Possession would be first or close to it.</p><p></p><p>For all the wailing and lamentations over Rodgers' yardage, completion percentage, yards per attempt and passer rating, the key issue is the turnovers, something the Packers have relied on keeping to the minimum over the years.</p><p></p><p>I've said it before and I'll say it again: the Packer offense's ability to flip a switch at halftime of the Dallas game, showing a stark change in personality to good affect, is perhaps the most impressive thing I've seen from this team since 2010. While necessity (Lacy/Starks injuries) might be the mother of invention, not all inventions are created equal. This one clicks very well.</p><p></p><p>What's the opponent's defensive game plan going to look like now? There will be DCs now who will find themselves betwixt and between. The only thing that troubles me is getting a sufficient number decent receiving threats on the field.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="HardRightEdge, post: 685457"] Thanks for the clarification. I find this elaboration credible. The "air yards" in these stats only include air yards on completions. They don't include air yards on [I][B]incompletions.[/B][/I] In other words, if an offense throws intermediate-to-deep with regularity and has a low completion percent on those throws relative to league (the Packers first 9 halves this season), their air yards will look a lot like a team that throws deep infrequently (the Packers last 3 halves this season, or guys like Alex Smith for example, though Rodgers can and has executed that approach far better than those guys). As you suggest, one would expect these air yards numbers to be highly correlated with yards per attempt, which they are. So, I don't find anything particularly revelatory in the "air yards" stats. Here are few Packer stats/league rankings some might find revelatory: - 3rd. Down Conversions: 50.6% / 1st. in the league - Time of Possession: 31:36 / 6th. in the league - Fewest Number of Punts: 17 / 1st. in the league - Giveaway / Takeaway: -2 / tied for 18th. in the league with the likes of Chicago, Cleveland and San Francisco If the Giveaway/Takeaway was just the league median of 1.5, the Time of Possession would be first or close to it. For all the wailing and lamentations over Rodgers' yardage, completion percentage, yards per attempt and passer rating, the key issue is the turnovers, something the Packers have relied on keeping to the minimum over the years. I've said it before and I'll say it again: the Packer offense's ability to flip a switch at halftime of the Dallas game, showing a stark change in personality to good affect, is perhaps the most impressive thing I've seen from this team since 2010. While necessity (Lacy/Starks injuries) might be the mother of invention, not all inventions are created equal. This one clicks very well. What's the opponent's defensive game plan going to look like now? There will be DCs now who will find themselves betwixt and between. The only thing that troubles me is getting a sufficient number decent receiving threats on the field. [/QUOTE]
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