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Message: <blockquote data-quote="mradtke66" data-source="post: 819701" data-attributes="member: 4199">Here's the part where we have to start arguing correlation vs. causation.  I will say that the biggest stat that correlates with "good teams" is passer rating.  Yards, yards per carry, etc, does not.  In fact, sometimes it's the reverse:  Score a lot of points early with the pass, grind out the clock with low yards-per-carry against a loaded box to protected the lead. Bad rushing stats, but more wins.Ah, but I never said they were unimportant.  But I'm not spending high picks for a special teamer.  Similarly 3rd down backs tend not to be valued by anyone, in terms of draft capital.  Yeah, those guys are useful, but a lot of them are 3rd down backs because they're tweeners.  I'm not arguing production.  I'm arguing victory.  In the extreme example, 2000 yards means squat if you aren't in the post season.I guess the crux of my argument is the difference between the 1st or 2nd best and 15th best running back in the league is negligible.  Elliot was no.1 (1-4) in yards, Barkley no. 2 .  Sony Michel was 15th (1-31).  Marlon Mack of the Colts (4-143) was 16th in yards yards, but had more TDs and a higher yards per carry.And then there's they Saints and Alvin Kamara: good player, 3rd round pick.</blockquote>

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