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Packers' defensive line looks to rise to another level
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<blockquote data-quote="HardRightEdge" data-source="post: 780269"><p>This will be fundamentally a 3-4 nickel/dime personnel defense. This is not a 4-3 defense. You don't need all those DLs. If you run base 1/3 of the time, you're using on average 2.33 lineman per play. If you spread that evenly over 5 guys, they'd all be playing at a 47% snap count. Now you're wasting the talent you drafted and are paying for in Daniels, Clark and Wilkerson. 65%, give or take, is probably a good number for those guys to get what you're paying for while keeping them reasonably fresh. There may be matchups where the Packers suit up only 4. You might also see OLBs lined up as DEs with a hand in the dirt on occasion, Perry in particular. It was Perry and Brooks last season.</p><p></p><p>You have to cover a lot of bases with a 45 man game day roster: starters, rotations, special teams, and injury contingencies at every position, starting and rotational, and backups who can also come in for some snaps to give the front line guys a blow. A 6th. DL is purely a luxury that cannot be afforded in what is fundamentally a 3-4 defense.</p><p></p><p>For a little perspective, Football Outsiders provides the follwing DL snap counts from last season:</p><p></p><p>Clark: 65.2%</p><p>Daniels: 59.7%</p><p>Lowry: 47.0%</p><p>Dial: 29.3%</p><p>Adams: 6.2%</p><p>Francois: 5.7%</p><p></p><p>Add up all those numbers and you get 213.1%. That means 2.131 DL per play was the average, or on average 3 DL only 13% of the time. Will those percentages go up? Probably, but not appreciably so.</p><p></p><p>And it's probably worth noting that stopping the run was not the problem last season despite having so few DL snaps: 8th. in average at 3.9; tied for 9th. in TDs surrendered with 10; tied for 15th. in forced fumbles with 6.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="HardRightEdge, post: 780269"] This will be fundamentally a 3-4 nickel/dime personnel defense. This is not a 4-3 defense. You don't need all those DLs. If you run base 1/3 of the time, you're using on average 2.33 lineman per play. If you spread that evenly over 5 guys, they'd all be playing at a 47% snap count. Now you're wasting the talent you drafted and are paying for in Daniels, Clark and Wilkerson. 65%, give or take, is probably a good number for those guys to get what you're paying for while keeping them reasonably fresh. There may be matchups where the Packers suit up only 4. You might also see OLBs lined up as DEs with a hand in the dirt on occasion, Perry in particular. It was Perry and Brooks last season. You have to cover a lot of bases with a 45 man game day roster: starters, rotations, special teams, and injury contingencies at every position, starting and rotational, and backups who can also come in for some snaps to give the front line guys a blow. A 6th. DL is purely a luxury that cannot be afforded in what is fundamentally a 3-4 defense. For a little perspective, Football Outsiders provides the follwing DL snap counts from last season: Clark: 65.2% Daniels: 59.7% Lowry: 47.0% Dial: 29.3% Adams: 6.2% Francois: 5.7% Add up all those numbers and you get 213.1%. That means 2.131 DL per play was the average, or on average 3 DL only 13% of the time. Will those percentages go up? Probably, but not appreciably so. And it's probably worth noting that stopping the run was not the problem last season despite having so few DL snaps: 8th. in average at 3.9; tied for 9th. in TDs surrendered with 10; tied for 15th. in forced fumbles with 6. [/QUOTE]
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Packers' defensive line looks to rise to another level
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