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<blockquote data-quote="Magooch" data-source="post: 1049326" data-attributes="member: 17987"><p>Yeah, the trouble with Watson at this point isn't really what he's currently costing (perfectly affordable) or the cost to acquire him (already "spent" and gone) but rather what it will cost to retain him and/or what it will cost to replace him. </p><p></p><p>As a second-round pick he doesn't have a fifth-year option available to us. So he's currently in the third year of his four-year contract, which naturally means we're approaching decision-time. We will have to decide if we want to give him a new contract, how much we're willing to pay, and weigh that against how much someone else might offer.</p><p></p><p>Now thankfully (perhaps) his relative lack of production can kind of cut both ways, if you will. On one hand I think you could argue that he has not been a smash hit, clear-cut extend at all costs type of player. But, on the other hand, again his relative lack of production may also make it as such that other teams also might not be willing to pay much of a premium for him. It's that tricky spot where you want a guy to be good enough to be convinced to give them a new contract, but to a degree that it becomes too expensive to be cost-effective. But if I had to guess, I doubt it would be too prohibitively expensive to hang on to him. </p><p></p><p>That said, it's just totally uninformed speculation on my part, but my gut/hunch feels like the team overall is fairly happy with him and how he's developed/is developing. Knock on wood, but it seems like Watson has been able to put a lot of work into improving his health and durability, and I suspect the team has probably looked at some of his injury-plagued early periods and had a hard time evaluating him on those times. Once he has got good periods of health, I feel like he's progressing pretty well. Again, totally just guessing here on my part, but my gut says he will probably get another contract with us and I wouldn't expect it to be too terribly expensive yet unless he really explodes down the stretch or has a huge breakout soon.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Magooch, post: 1049326, member: 17987"] Yeah, the trouble with Watson at this point isn't really what he's currently costing (perfectly affordable) or the cost to acquire him (already "spent" and gone) but rather what it will cost to retain him and/or what it will cost to replace him. As a second-round pick he doesn't have a fifth-year option available to us. So he's currently in the third year of his four-year contract, which naturally means we're approaching decision-time. We will have to decide if we want to give him a new contract, how much we're willing to pay, and weigh that against how much someone else might offer. Now thankfully (perhaps) his relative lack of production can kind of cut both ways, if you will. On one hand I think you could argue that he has not been a smash hit, clear-cut extend at all costs type of player. But, on the other hand, again his relative lack of production may also make it as such that other teams also might not be willing to pay much of a premium for him. It's that tricky spot where you want a guy to be good enough to be convinced to give them a new contract, but to a degree that it becomes too expensive to be cost-effective. But if I had to guess, I doubt it would be too prohibitively expensive to hang on to him. That said, it's just totally uninformed speculation on my part, but my gut/hunch feels like the team overall is fairly happy with him and how he's developed/is developing. Knock on wood, but it seems like Watson has been able to put a lot of work into improving his health and durability, and I suspect the team has probably looked at some of his injury-plagued early periods and had a hard time evaluating him on those times. Once he has got good periods of health, I feel like he's progressing pretty well. Again, totally just guessing here on my part, but my gut says he will probably get another contract with us and I wouldn't expect it to be too terribly expensive yet unless he really explodes down the stretch or has a huge breakout soon. [/QUOTE]
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