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Bold 2020 Predictions - PreDraft & FA
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<blockquote data-quote="HardRightEdge" data-source="post: 865319"><p>In the Jimmy Johnson chart, top of the 6th. round is 27 points. 7th. round pick values range from 14 at the top to 2 at the bottom.</p><p></p><p>It occurs to me that the Jimmy Johnson chart predates comp picks. All picks below the comp picks need to be rolled down in value. For example, the 4th. of the 3rd. round comp picks is not a 3rd. round pick. It is the 100th. pick in the draft and should be valued as such.</p><p></p><p>I put next to no value on a 7th. round pick as the chart indicates. The ability to draft a guy with that pick who might otherwise end up with somebody else as a UDFA is a concern pretty much confined to kickers, punters and long snappers many or most of whom come out of the undrafted ranks. </p><p></p><p>Who are these guys you missed out on for lack of one more 7th. round pick? Anybody can google names of stars who came out of the UDFA ranks. Tony Romo, James Harrison, or even Tramon Williams down the food chain, yada, yada. But when you consider how many flow through 90 man training camp rosters and then into practice squads and then out of the league vs. how many actually amount to anything, you're talking about losing out on a needle in the proverbial haystack.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="HardRightEdge, post: 865319"] In the Jimmy Johnson chart, top of the 6th. round is 27 points. 7th. round pick values range from 14 at the top to 2 at the bottom. It occurs to me that the Jimmy Johnson chart predates comp picks. All picks below the comp picks need to be rolled down in value. For example, the 4th. of the 3rd. round comp picks is not a 3rd. round pick. It is the 100th. pick in the draft and should be valued as such. I put next to no value on a 7th. round pick as the chart indicates. The ability to draft a guy with that pick who might otherwise end up with somebody else as a UDFA is a concern pretty much confined to kickers, punters and long snappers many or most of whom come out of the undrafted ranks. Who are these guys you missed out on for lack of one more 7th. round pick? Anybody can google names of stars who came out of the UDFA ranks. Tony Romo, James Harrison, or even Tramon Williams down the food chain, yada, yada. But when you consider how many flow through 90 man training camp rosters and then into practice squads and then out of the league vs. how many actually amount to anything, you're talking about losing out on a needle in the proverbial haystack. [/QUOTE]
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