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Blocking Aaron Donald
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<blockquote data-quote="HardRightEdge" data-source="post: 795463"><p>They are 7-0, so they're doing something right. <img src="/styles/default/xenforo/smilies/wink.png" class="smilie" loading="lazy" alt=";)" title="Wink ;)" data-shortname=";)" /></p><p></p><p>One quibble--citing turnovers along with passer rating effectively double counts interceptions since they are already embedded in the passer ratings. Rams = 1 lost fumble, Packers = 6.</p><p></p><p>One thing I'd note is the 16% spread in the red zone when combining offensive and defensive differentials. If, for example, each team gets 4 tries in the red zone, the difference between 8 TDs (56 points) vs. 8 FGs (24 points) = 32 points x 0.16 = a 5 point differential. Giving the Rams 3 points for home field, and the red zone differential in that example gets you to the current 8 point spread.</p><p></p><p>We also didn't discuss penalties. I didn't get into that in the defensive evaluation simply because I could not find a breakdown of offensive vs. defensive. Penalties are typically omitted in statisical overviews of team performance. The Packers are averaging 8.2 per game (29th.) and 11.5 on the road vs. the Rams 5.6 per game (4th.) and 4.3 at home. If that kind of home-away spread on an admittedly limited sample were to hold, that spells trouble.</p><p></p><p>No matter how we slice and dice the stats, it all gets a little meta when it comes down to one game. The stats are for context and texture, but games rarely play out as the stats would suggest.</p><p></p><p>Since we watch the Packers every week and discuss them ad nauseum, what is the overall eyewash of this team? Wild inconsistencies and a mistake-prone propensitiy, from half to half or game to game, from fumbling the ball 3 times inside their own 30 in a half of play, to missing a rash of FGs, to letting a guy get open deep twice whose game log looks like this [<a href="http://www.espn.com/nfl/player/gamelog/_/id/15839/marquise-goodwin" target="_blank">http://www.espn.com/nfl/player/gamelog/_/id/15839/marquise-goodwin</a>] to letting the 49ers gash on the ground early and shutting it down late to those frustrating penalties.</p><p></p><p>It's easy to say, "we need to clean some things up," as though that's just some practice and coaching exercise. It comes down to player talent, experience and the ability to take the game plan onto the field and excute. That said, the Packers pushing the the needle toward fewer mistakes and greater consistency is not a high bar. Conversely, the statistical picture of the Rams does not say "greatness", and my eyewash of that Denver game says the same. It's more about balance and consistency for them.</p><p></p><p>It's easy to say most games come down to turnovers, big play TDs and red zone performance, probably because it is true. This game with these teams probably more so than most.</p><p></p><p>It looks like the Packers will have all hands on deck for this game, so the Packers have that going for them, with the uncommon full complement of corners and WRs, though how many snaps or how impaired one or the other might exhibit remains to be seen.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="HardRightEdge, post: 795463"] They are 7-0, so they're doing something right. ;) One quibble--citing turnovers along with passer rating effectively double counts interceptions since they are already embedded in the passer ratings. Rams = 1 lost fumble, Packers = 6. One thing I'd note is the 16% spread in the red zone when combining offensive and defensive differentials. If, for example, each team gets 4 tries in the red zone, the difference between 8 TDs (56 points) vs. 8 FGs (24 points) = 32 points x 0.16 = a 5 point differential. Giving the Rams 3 points for home field, and the red zone differential in that example gets you to the current 8 point spread. We also didn't discuss penalties. I didn't get into that in the defensive evaluation simply because I could not find a breakdown of offensive vs. defensive. Penalties are typically omitted in statisical overviews of team performance. The Packers are averaging 8.2 per game (29th.) and 11.5 on the road vs. the Rams 5.6 per game (4th.) and 4.3 at home. If that kind of home-away spread on an admittedly limited sample were to hold, that spells trouble. No matter how we slice and dice the stats, it all gets a little meta when it comes down to one game. The stats are for context and texture, but games rarely play out as the stats would suggest. Since we watch the Packers every week and discuss them ad nauseum, what is the overall eyewash of this team? Wild inconsistencies and a mistake-prone propensitiy, from half to half or game to game, from fumbling the ball 3 times inside their own 30 in a half of play, to missing a rash of FGs, to letting a guy get open deep twice whose game log looks like this [[URL]http://www.espn.com/nfl/player/gamelog/_/id/15839/marquise-goodwin[/URL]] to letting the 49ers gash on the ground early and shutting it down late to those frustrating penalties. It's easy to say, "we need to clean some things up," as though that's just some practice and coaching exercise. It comes down to player talent, experience and the ability to take the game plan onto the field and excute. That said, the Packers pushing the the needle toward fewer mistakes and greater consistency is not a high bar. Conversely, the statistical picture of the Rams does not say "greatness", and my eyewash of that Denver game says the same. It's more about balance and consistency for them. It's easy to say most games come down to turnovers, big play TDs and red zone performance, probably because it is true. This game with these teams probably more so than most. It looks like the Packers will have all hands on deck for this game, so the Packers have that going for them, with the uncommon full complement of corners and WRs, though how many snaps or how impaired one or the other might exhibit remains to be seen. [/QUOTE]
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