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Roster Statuses looking into 2024
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<blockquote data-quote="Dantés" data-source="post: 1024233" data-attributes="member: 12283"><p>I wanted to flesh out this comparison between Swift and Miles Sanders.</p><p></p><p>Last year, when Sanders hit FA, <strong>here was his profile</strong>:</p><p></p><p>-25 years old</p><p>-5'10", 211, running 4.49 out of PSU</p><p>-Drafted 53rd overall</p><p>-4 seasons; 57 games played</p><p>-739 career carries; 5.0 career YPC</p><p>-124 career receptions; 7.6 career YPR</p><p>-9 career fumbles</p><p>-Rush Success Rates of 44.7, 54.9, 59.1, 56.8</p><p></p><p><strong>Here is Swift's profile</strong>:</p><p></p><p>-25 years old</p><p>-5'9", 212#, running 4.48 out of UGA</p><p>-Drafted 35th overall</p><p>-4 seasons; 56 games played</p><p>-593 career carries; 4.6 career YPC</p><p>-195 career receptions; 7.2 career YPR</p><p>- 9 career fumbles</p><p>-Rush Success Rates of 54.4, 36.4, 47.5, 54.1</p><p></p><p>It would be really difficult to find two FA profiles more similar than that. </p><p></p><p><strong>Sanders' Contract</strong>: 4 years, 25.4M, 11M gtd at signing, 13M in total guarantees</p><p></p><p>The cap is expected to go up ~7.5% for next season, so let's adjust Sanders' deal up 10%.</p><p></p><p><strong>Projected Swift Contract: </strong>4 years, 28M, 12M gtd at signing, 14.5M in total guarantees</p><p></p><p>Basically a 2 year deal that becomes a team option situation in 2026 and 2027 and averages 7M in annual value.</p><p></p><p>Now when I say that I think it could be smart for a team to zig on RB value, this is what I mean. Here is what ~7M in AAV will get you at other positions on the open market:</p><p><strong></strong></p><p><strong>QB: </strong>Taylor Heinicke</p><p></p><p><strong>TE: </strong>Josh Oliver</p><p></p><p><strong>WR: </strong>Cedrick Wilson</p><p></p><p><strong>OL: </strong>Trey Pipkins, Connor Williams, Connor McGovern</p><p></p><p>Think about what D'Andre Swift can add to an offense vs these other players-- a backup QB, a 40% snap count blocking TE, a 22/296/3 WR, and replacement level OL (other than Williams who ended up being a bargain for MIA).</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Dantés, post: 1024233, member: 12283"] I wanted to flesh out this comparison between Swift and Miles Sanders. Last year, when Sanders hit FA, [B]here was his profile[/B]: -25 years old -5'10", 211, running 4.49 out of PSU -Drafted 53rd overall -4 seasons; 57 games played -739 career carries; 5.0 career YPC -124 career receptions; 7.6 career YPR -9 career fumbles -Rush Success Rates of 44.7, 54.9, 59.1, 56.8 [B]Here is Swift's profile[/B]: -25 years old -5'9", 212#, running 4.48 out of UGA -Drafted 35th overall -4 seasons; 56 games played -593 career carries; 4.6 career YPC -195 career receptions; 7.2 career YPR - 9 career fumbles -Rush Success Rates of 54.4, 36.4, 47.5, 54.1 It would be really difficult to find two FA profiles more similar than that. [B]Sanders' Contract[/B]: 4 years, 25.4M, 11M gtd at signing, 13M in total guarantees The cap is expected to go up ~7.5% for next season, so let's adjust Sanders' deal up 10%. [B]Projected Swift Contract: [/B]4 years, 28M, 12M gtd at signing, 14.5M in total guarantees Basically a 2 year deal that becomes a team option situation in 2026 and 2027 and averages 7M in annual value. Now when I say that I think it could be smart for a team to zig on RB value, this is what I mean. Here is what ~7M in AAV will get you at other positions on the open market: [B] QB: [/B]Taylor Heinicke [B]TE: [/B]Josh Oliver [B]WR: [/B]Cedrick Wilson [B]OL: [/B]Trey Pipkins, Connor Williams, Connor McGovern Think about what D'Andre Swift can add to an offense vs these other players-- a backup QB, a 40% snap count blocking TE, a 22/296/3 WR, and replacement level OL (other than Williams who ended up being a bargain for MIA). [/QUOTE]
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