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A Modestly Successful Jordan Love Season
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<blockquote data-quote="Dantés" data-source="post: 998376" data-attributes="member: 12283"><p>I've been thinking about what a successful season for Jordan Love might look like according to reasonable expectations. Now granted, he might not end up actually being successful, even if we keep the expectations modest. So keep in mind that this projection is a scenario where he's <em>successful. </em></p><p></p><p><strong>The Baseline: </strong>To set a baseline for this projection, I started by trying to make an educated guess regarding number of attempts. In this offense, Rodgers attempted 36, 33, 33, and 32 attempts per game from 2019-2022 respectively. I am projecting that Love checks out of run plays at a lower rate and elects to run himself a little more often. I'm placing his projected total at 30 attempts per game passing. Given his youth and mobility, I am projecting 4.5 rush attempts per game, for a total of 77.</p><p></p><p><strong>The Rates: </strong>A completion percentage of 66% and a YPA of 7.4 would be just a hair above average over the last three seasons. Likewise, 5.0% TD rate and 1.9% INT rate would be right around the middle of the league over the last three seasons. Given that Love is a solid athlete and would likely be picking his spots as a scrambling runner, I'm projecting 4.5 YPC.</p><p></p><p><strong><u>The Result (17 gms)</u>: 337/510, 3774 yards, 26 TD, 10 INT; 77 rush, 347 yards, 5 TD</strong></p><p></p><p>So there's my projection for Love that is aimed at being reasonable but would still constitute a success.</p><p></p><p>What say you? If Love turns in that season, gets better as it goes along, and the Packers end up with two picks in the late teens, are you trying to go get a new QB, or do you roll forward with Love?</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Dantés, post: 998376, member: 12283"] I've been thinking about what a successful season for Jordan Love might look like according to reasonable expectations. Now granted, he might not end up actually being successful, even if we keep the expectations modest. So keep in mind that this projection is a scenario where he's [I]successful. [/I] [B]The Baseline: [/B]To set a baseline for this projection, I started by trying to make an educated guess regarding number of attempts. In this offense, Rodgers attempted 36, 33, 33, and 32 attempts per game from 2019-2022 respectively. I am projecting that Love checks out of run plays at a lower rate and elects to run himself a little more often. I'm placing his projected total at 30 attempts per game passing. Given his youth and mobility, I am projecting 4.5 rush attempts per game, for a total of 77. [B]The Rates: [/B]A completion percentage of 66% and a YPA of 7.4 would be just a hair above average over the last three seasons. Likewise, 5.0% TD rate and 1.9% INT rate would be right around the middle of the league over the last three seasons. Given that Love is a solid athlete and would likely be picking his spots as a scrambling runner, I'm projecting 4.5 YPC. [B][U]The Result (17 gms)[/U]: 337/510, 3774 yards, 26 TD, 10 INT; 77 rush, 347 yards, 5 TD[/B] So there's my projection for Love that is aimed at being reasonable but would still constitute a success. What say you? If Love turns in that season, gets better as it goes along, and the Packers end up with two picks in the late teens, are you trying to go get a new QB, or do you roll forward with Love? [/QUOTE]
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