Recent content by mradtke66

  1. M

    Projecting Jordan Love in 2024

    I honestly still don't exactly know how to read him. He played better that I hoped in 2023, but I have no idea on his likely ceiling. I'm tempted to say he'll end up solidly around his year end totals/averages. My concerns still focus on him forcing things or throwing off platform when the...
  2. M

    Who Will Start?

    Heh, all I have is what I posted. I can't give you what I cannot find. I am curious what you find doubtful of the stats. As far as the Eagles themselves, they used 11 personnel above average (64%) last year, but also used 21 personnel above average (25%). Further throwing a wrench into the...
  3. M

    Who Will Start?

    Depends how they see Morgan. One has to think they see Morgan as the LT of the future, and as such, they're going to work to turn him into that player sooner rather than later. If he looks good enough to start, then I'd guess they see if Walker can hack it on the right side. If he can't, then...
  4. M

    Who Will Start?

    It always depends, but I'd say that is a poor bet. 11 personnel (3WR, 1RB, 1TE) is the most common offensive grouping at 61% in 2023 (note this doc only cover only the 1st half of 2023, I haven't found a more up to date one...
  5. M

    Who Will Start?

    can Morgan play inside? Possibly, that doesn’t mean that’s likely. Most of the chatter focuses on his arms being “short” at “only” 34” or whatever. He’ll be fine. My other worry, besides my previous, is playing on the right side if you think he’s a future left tackle. More than one former...
  6. M

    Who Will Start?

    I honestly don't see that. Yes, RG is the obvious hole with last year's starter departing. Yes, Morgan is the 1st round pick, so you want to get him on the field asap. Morgan's weakness is functional strength at the point of attack and his strength is his athletic ability--good feet (though...
  7. M

    Moving Up

    I'm honestly not entirely sure how to slot us. On one hand, we were one of the final 4 in the NFC, which implies we're at least 8th best. I also think we got hot at just the right time and that could be an over-achievement. New defensive scheme, new running back, and we still don't entirely...
  8. M

    Moving Up

    Certainly. I prefer nuance.
  9. M

    Moving Up

    So I googled that phrase to see what I could fine. The closest I found was something from the Washington Post, https://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/2022/04/28/grading-nfl-draft-success/ “If you can get three or four meaningful players from each year's draft, that's a really good draft,”...
  10. M

    Moving Up

    In summary, as it is with most things, "It depends."
  11. M

    Moving Up

    I think the math is more complicated than that. I do not deny that the average career is 3.3 years or whatever, but that number is drug down by UDFAs, 7th round fliers, running backs, etc. For example, running backs had (last I looked) one of the shortest careers. So yes, you do need to turn...
  12. M

    Moving Up

    The rest of your post is interesting, but 33% success is generally the bench mark of a good drafter, which I think shifts your math. A more nuanced answer that I've seen is 2 starters (so 2/7 or 28.5%, assuming you stay with only your initial 7) plus a role player is a good draft. That shifts...
  13. M

    Not too soon 2024 roster prediction

    While it could happen, a lot would have to fall juuuust right for Myers to not be on the roster for 2024. And I think people like to hate on player and unfairly group "I'd like better" and "can this guy even play in the NFL?" He's not a pro-bowler, but Myers was, at worst, the 4th best starter...
  14. M

    Free Agency Thread

    The entire point of "edge" is that 3-4 OLBs and 4-3 DEs are more largely, if not entirely, equivalent. In nickel, you probably won't see any different in the front 6.
  15. M

    Free Agency Thread

    I think it is the same issue. The Vikes raised the price because of the inter division penalty. I generally agree with you that more picks are more valuable, but what is the difference between moving up the 1st vs. any other round? Particularly if Watson was "that guy" ? What if they had a...

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